F/P+ ranking is Football Outsider's ranking system of all 130+ FBS teams. In college football, even an entire 12 game season is considered a very small sample size (e.g. not enough game's being played to really distinguish who the best teams are). As a result, looking at a team's won loss record isn't the best indicator of how well that team stacks up. This F/P+ ranking system sets out to solve that issue by evaluating a team's performance at the play by play level. The system also factors in opponent quality and omits performance during garbage time.
I've already written a lot on the topic of F/P+ but if you want more detail on how the ranking system works, please view their site here: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/fplus
The two metrics in the image below are the most holistic/simple way of evaluating a head coach at a football program. It's his recruiting class ranking (which indicates future success) and his F/P+ ranking which evaluates his team's performance during that particular season. Both numbers represent how a team ranks relative to all 130+ teams in the FBS.
Brian Kelly's career results:
And despite the exciting 12-1 record in 2018, when you look at the more granular data and look at Brian Kelly over any chunk of time, the results are *extremely* clear. You are going to get a 15th ranked football program, and a recruiting class that finishes around the same.
Given NDs fan support, wealth, brand power, etc. there has to be more ambition on part of ND leadership than this. Where is the motivation on their part to match their fan's endless loyalty and support? Do they not even realize that this data exists?
Total = average per year
L5 = average last 5 years
L3 = average last 3 years
REC = 247 final composite class ranking
F/P+ = final team performance ranking
I've already written a lot on the topic of F/P+ but if you want more detail on how the ranking system works, please view their site here: https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/fplus
The two metrics in the image below are the most holistic/simple way of evaluating a head coach at a football program. It's his recruiting class ranking (which indicates future success) and his F/P+ ranking which evaluates his team's performance during that particular season. Both numbers represent how a team ranks relative to all 130+ teams in the FBS.
Brian Kelly's career results:
- In his 9 year career at Notre Dame, Brian Kelly's final F/P+ ranking averages out to 16th in the country. His Average recruiting class ranking as per 24/7 composite is 12th.
- In his last 5 years: his average final F/P+ ranking is 17th, and his average composite recruiting class ranking is 13th.
- In his last 3 years: average final F/P+ ranking is 15th, and average composite recruiting class is 12th.
And despite the exciting 12-1 record in 2018, when you look at the more granular data and look at Brian Kelly over any chunk of time, the results are *extremely* clear. You are going to get a 15th ranked football program, and a recruiting class that finishes around the same.
Given NDs fan support, wealth, brand power, etc. there has to be more ambition on part of ND leadership than this. Where is the motivation on their part to match their fan's endless loyalty and support? Do they not even realize that this data exists?
Total = average per year
L5 = average last 5 years
L3 = average last 3 years
REC = 247 final composite class ranking
F/P+ = final team performance ranking
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