This year I take TCU. I would never bet money on a game. A couple of points you miss. 1- Bama screed up this year. Was close to losing another game or two.
2- it’s not about potential. We got screwed by polls in 1993. We beat fsu. Crap happens
3- TCU has gotten screwed by polls over years more than any team
4- Bama always gets benefit of doubt. This year there is no doubt
5- if Saban spent more time with his team instead of Coach Prime playing with ducks n goats, they might be in playoffs
6- so I think you have to give TCU credit. Especially since they will beat dawgs. Lol
When you say you take TCU, does that mean that you take them to be in the playoffs and that they’re deserving or that you would take them on a straight up bet on a neutral field versus Alabama?
1. They were also very close to winning the two games that they lost. Additionally, Alabama was number two in the country and “game control,” so more often than not they had a stranglehold on most of their games. Game control reflects the chance that an average Top 25 team would control games from start to end the way this team did, given the schedule. Only Georgia had a higher game control #.
2. Yes, the résumé matters as well, but it sounds like to me that you are conceding that Alabama has a higher potential and a higher ceiling. As far as the résumé is concerned, Alabama had the #4 ranked strength of record and the #8 strength of schedule. By the way, if we had the current rules and system in place in 1993, we would get to be in the playoffs and I think there’s a very good chance that we wind up winning the title. I’m not sure what “crap happens” has to do with determining what the better team is.
3 and 4. Irrelevant when looking at which team is better.
5. I’m not sure what this means.
6. I absolutely do give TCU credit, but giving them credit does not mean that I think they are better than Alabama. I’m more convinced that they are deserving of being in the playoff based on the record that they built but Alabama is a better, more talented team.