This is true in a vacuum. Luck is greater than book.
I don't think people put enough credence into what Kelly pushed his qbs to do. He purposely had them focus on zero turnovers and very safe passes. That is outrageously limiting to a QB and is just one reason he wasn't getting elite QB recruits.
No matter who was QB, Kelly was going to have them focus on one on one sideline fades and back shoulder throws, dump offs and simple te routes. The real question here is...would Kelly have ruined luck by forcing him into his system
Let me tell you something strange that happened...
BK @ Cinci was on the hungry and on the cutting edge.
Cinci was notoriously on Thursday nights or Saturday nights on the deuce because of ratings. Why?
They were doing this thing nobody elsr was at the time. Hurry up offense from the first possession onward. The rules weren't allowing defense time to sub a guy if you subbed a guy.
Nobody was doing that at the time. They exploited the rules for an advantage. Good for him.
He also let his QB run wild. Running and throwing all sorts of passes.
What happened?
BK really went into a boxed in corner post Kizer.
See Wimbush couldn't throw accurately...and Book had the weakest arm in ND history.
But...
If you played it ultra safe and afraid of failure you can possibly eek out wins.
Thus Book and co. did just that going to the Cotton in 18 undefeated (no tough games that year)
Once they finally met real competition you had a 30-3 bloodbath that could've been 80-3 easily.
What happened after?
Book stayed too long but that little taste of success (superficial) cemented BK's fear of failure offensive philosophy.
That's the rest of the story
Paul Harvey