A ton of credit. He's an elite coach at growing a program of winning. He just isn't an elite recruiter. I think if he could recruit elite talent, he could win a title. Unfortunately, he can't. You need both. He's an unlikable guy that hates to recruit. I said it when he was hired, BKs only hope at a title is in years 1-3. After that, it will be his good, not elite recruits and the '22 class was not great. LSU's 2019 - 2021 classes were all elite, top 5 classes. You'd have to be very lousy not to win there. He's going to look amazing his first couple of years. But, he will set them back in recruiting and by year 3, they will start to level out.
Brian Kelly was the kind of coach ND needed after Weis fizzled out, and he
rebuilt the program to the point he was able to. Multiple playoff appearances
show the state of the Fighting Irish program is strong, but there is a level of
success that teams can't reach nationally without being really strong in their
recruiting efforts.
Kelly either doesn't know how to do that or wasn't willing to hire coaches who
could help take the program to that level. His frustration level peaked after
last season and when the LSU job opened up, he saw what he thought will be
a far easier place to recruit and a university which is willing to compete in the
high-dollar athletic arms race the SEC programs seem to lead most years.
What he still doesn't seem to get is that you gotta work you butt off as a
head coach in recruiting and have a staff who do the same to get the level of
talent it takes to beat teams like Bama, UGA, and eventually OU and Texas.
The best talent in Louisiana seems to be leaving the state to play their college
football so far this class, and if he doesn't figure it out and start doing what
they are paying him so much to accomplish, the folks in Baton Rouge will be
cashiering another expensive coaching mistake within the next few years.