Good posts throughout and I always enjoy reading your thoughts and analysis on ND football.
I do however disagree with the Texas A&M win being a "confirmation that ND is a very good team"
Texas A&M is ranked 21st according to latest F+ ranking (through week 2).
Texas A&M recruited really well under Jimbo Fisher and there are still some really highly rated players on their roster, but that whole program has been in disarray for years now, and they are under an entirely new regime with tons of roster attrition, learning a new scheme, new culture, etc.
They are more of a program we should beat in year 3 under MF to confirm that ND isn't a bad team .. but that's probably as far i would go with it.
Thanks and I HEAR YOU.
But I don't think that's my quote. If so, I haven't been able to locate it.
Here, though, is something I DID WRITE:
"Beating A&M didn't give ND the keys to the kingdom. All it did was confirm the likelihood of ND's having a very good team. How it plays each week will further reinforce that likelihood or not."
There was NO CATEGORICAL CLAIM that ND IS in fact a good football team. Instead, I was careful to HEDGE MY COMMENT so as not to be definitive. Because HOW COULD I KNOW?
So, where does that leave us at this moment?
It's TOO EARLY TO TELL.
We don't know if ND has a good team or not, nor do we know how good NIU or A&M is, and it will take AT LEAST several more weeks to find out as per all three.
ONE SWALLOW DOESN'T MAKE A SUMMER. And hardly a football season.
As for power ratings, I'm a fan of the data they provide, and I know they're a tool for oddsmakers, but in the final analysis -- as per the end of the season -- DO THEY EVEN COUNT? Especially in those instances when the team with the highest power rating turns out NOT to be the NC winner?
Heres' an analogy:
The French army had the Wehrmacht beaten in EVERY POWER METRIC during the Battle of France in 1940. More men, munitions, artillery -- EVEN TANKS. But they lacked one thing that the Wehrmacht had in spades which probably wasn't even listed in the FRENCH POWER RANKING MANUAL -- MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS. There were NO RADIOS not only in French tanks but also at their various command headquarters. They used guys on MOTORCYCLES.
The Wehrmacht won in a matter of weeks and took about 600,000 French prisoners.
There are ALWAYS variables that have YET to be quantified. AND/OR the other team just WANTS IT MORE. NIU lost the power ranking game to ND and is certainly STILL TRAILING today.
BUT IT WON THE GAME ON THE FIELD.