So the line has moved to ND +3 and I’m trying to figure out what I’m missing. It seems like both teams’ strengths should be their defenses. When one compares the defenses from 2023 here’s what the numbers show:
Total Defense
ND - # 5
AM - #19
Passing Defense
ND - #3
AM - #37
Passing TDs Allowed
ND - #1
AM - #37
Rushing Defense
ND - #26
AM - #13
Rushing TD Allowed
ND - #30
AM - #9
Scoring Defense
ND - #7
AM - #35
Our defense should be as strong as last year if not better. Theirs - I do not see that it is better.
Just looking at total offense ranks for a little more perspective:
Total Offense
ND - #29
AM - #48
Scoring Offense
ND - #7
AM - #24
With ND getting 3 and the over at 46.5, this does not seem like the lines are based on the data. I would say it is more a case of SEC and Texas gamblers versus ND gamblers.
I may have to get in on this one although I generally never bet the first game of the year. Last year I waited til NCSt to make a tidy sum. Go Irish
Total Defense
ND - # 5
AM - #19
Passing Defense
ND - #3
AM - #37
Passing TDs Allowed
ND - #1
AM - #37
Rushing Defense
ND - #26
AM - #13
Rushing TD Allowed
ND - #30
AM - #9
Scoring Defense
ND - #7
AM - #35
Our defense should be as strong as last year if not better. Theirs - I do not see that it is better.
Just looking at total offense ranks for a little more perspective:
Total Offense
ND - #29
AM - #48
Scoring Offense
ND - #7
AM - #24
With ND getting 3 and the over at 46.5, this does not seem like the lines are based on the data. I would say it is more a case of SEC and Texas gamblers versus ND gamblers.
I may have to get in on this one although I generally never bet the first game of the year. Last year I waited til NCSt to make a tidy sum. Go Irish