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NVDA stock. Lotta folks are bullish on the chip maker.
Yes they are.
If the chip manufacturing is indeed starts mass production here INTC will become a nice stock to get at a far price though the threat to Taiwan will be greatly increased
It was the second stock (500 @$25.35) I every got on my own and has had good days and bad but after hearing president Trump talking about bring it to the US and President
Biden visiting the new plant TSM i believe in Arizona i help on to them
 
100% I have my investment portfolio that's managed by my financial expert. Any day trading I do is with money I can afford to lose. I would never use day trading as a long term investment vehicle.


That is an excellent approach and mine too.

I speculate with toy money I can afford to lose.

The vast majority of my money is:

1) dollar cost averaging into an age appropriate mix of low cost index funds: money, bond, stock, REITs.
2) Adaptive Value Investing per Benjamin Graham & Warren Buffett in individual instruments.
3) Some chasing of quality non-GAAP high growth...like CRM and NVDA once were when they were losing money but taking over markets.

The rest is casino.
 
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Don't give a damn about other countries.
Under Joe Biden gas nearly tripled in price.
Harry Truman says the buck stops there you do know?
Showing what an actual shallow partisan voter you obviously are. Nearly tripled? Comparing today to the covid years, how convenient. $3.25 in SWFL, so it was $1.10 under the prior administration? Just a moronic argument; but keep up the bitching and stupidity though, at least it's entertaining
 
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Showing what an actual shallow partisan voter you obviously are. Nearly tripled? Comparing today to the covid years, how convenient. $3.25 in SWFL, so it was $1.10 under the prior administration? Just a moronic argument; but keep up the bitching and stupidity though, at least it's entertaining
IT was $1.71 and got to 5.01 where I lived.
AND I call BS on your claim that gas was only $3.25 at worst
moronic is a nice depiction for you and all those woke morons like you and you are quite welcome to Joe Biden. By the way do you have any children? if so


I am sure you are quite happy to have children mutilated to serve a social agenda
 
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IT was $1.71 and got to 5.01 where I lived.
AND I call BS on your claim that gas was only $3.25 at worst
moronic is a nice depiction for you and all those woke morons like you and you are quite welcome to Joe Biden. By the way do you have any children? if so


I am sure you are quite happy to have children mutilated to serve a social agenda
You can call BS all you want, but I filled the car today at $3.09. And yes I have kids. Woke moron, no worries some day you'll grow up
... I hope
 
That is an excellent approach and mine too.

I speculate with toy money I can afford to lose.

The vast majority of my money is:

1) dollar cost averaging into an age appropriate mix of low cost index funds: money, bond, stock, REITs.
2) Adaptive Value Investing per Benjamin Graham & Warren Buffett in individual instruments.
3) Some chasing of quality non-GAAP high growth...like CRM and NVDA once were when they were losing money but taking over markets.

The rest is casino.
CRM/NVDA you'll need deep pockets to get in now
Man the past 5 weeks I've gained 15 grand just day trading so there's money to be made especially in the small cap. There's some great value there. I never paid attention to the Russell until my broker (Charles Schwab) told me about what it is.
 
CRM/NVDA you'll need deep pockets to get in now
Man the past 5 weeks I've gained 15 grand just day trading so there's money to be made especially in the small cap. There's some great value there. I never paid attention to the Russell until my broker (Charles Schwab) told me about what it is.

CRM/NVDA you'll need deep pockets to get in now
Man the past 5 weeks I've gained 15 grand just day trading so there's money to be made especially in the small cap. There's some great value there. I never paid attention to the Russell until my broker (Charles Schwab) told me about what it is.


$15k in 1 day obviously sounds great. I get such swings simply because of a large portfolio. But in day trading...you can lose and win as much on a much smaller basis.

I know you know this. But I'm just repeating the warnings to observers and lurkers.

:)

My recent speculative stocks are: XPEV, AQB, and PATH. -63%, -73%, and -57% respectively. Paper losses, as I still hold, having outright bought, no options.I invested a total of $12k across all 3. Small money by now. My values investments have done much better.

Check out this AAPL investment, 1 of 3 I own.

AAPL shares total price $/share
10-Nov-2010 868 $9,807.43 $11.3000 basis
16-Aug-2012 3.64 $82.15 $22.5700 div
15-Nov-2012 4.368 $82.49 $18.8900 div
14-Feb-2013 4.956 $82.91 $16.7300 div
16-May-2013 6.188 $95.96 $15.5100 div
15-Aug-2013 5.432 $96.64 $17.7900 div
14-Nov-2013 5.152 $97.23 $18.8700 div
29-Jan-2014 196 $3,510.07 $17.9100 basis
29-Jan-2014 56 $1,000.32 $17.8600 basis
29-Jan-2014 28 $500.16 $17.8600 basis
13-Feb-2014 6.636 $128.29 $19.3300 div
15-May-2014 6.552 $139.16 $21.2400 div
14-Aug-2014 5.812 $139.93 $24.0800 div
13-Nov-2014 5.168 $140.62 $27.2100 div
12-Feb-2015 4.66 $141.22 $30.3000 div
14-May-2015 4.984 $156.85 $31.4700 div
13-Aug-2015 5.444 $157.50 $28.9300 div
12-Nov-2015 5.4 $158.21 $29.3000 div
11-Feb-2016 6.712 $158.91 $23.6800 div
12-May-2016 7.536 $175.15 $23.2400 div
11-Aug-2016 6.5 $176.22 $27.1100 div
10-Nov-2016 6.404 $177.15 $27.6600 div
16-Feb-2017 5.308 $178.06 $33.5500 div
18-May-2017 5.092 $197.64 $38.8100 div
17-Aug-2017 4.92 $198.44 $40.3300 div
16-Nov-2017 4.62 $199.22 $43.1200 div
15-Feb-2018 4.908 $199.94 $40.7400 div
17-May-2018 5 $232.58 $46.5200 div
16-Aug-2018 4.46 $233.49 $52.3500 div
15-Nov-2018 4.828 $234.30 $48.5300 div
14-Feb-2019 5.528 $235.18 $42.5400 div
16-May-2019 5.308 $249.14 $46.9400 div
15-Aug-2019 4.804 $250.16 $52.0700 div
14-Nov-2019 3.836 $251.08 $65.4500 div
13-Feb-2020 3.128 $251.82 $80.5100 div
14-May-2020 3.384 $268.81 $79.4400 div
14-Aug-2020 2.3724 $269.51 $113.6000 div
13-Nov-2020 2.2816 $269.99 $118.3356 div
12-Feb-2021 2.0129 $270.46 $134.3622 div
14-May-2021 2.2962 $290.69 $126.5956 div
13-Aug-2021 1.9535 $291.20 $149.0634 div
12-Nov-2021 1.9657 $291.63 $148.3616 div
11-Feb-2022 1.6983 $292.06 $171.9752 div
13-May-2022 2.0856 $305.73 $146.5886 div
12-Aug-2022 1.798 $306.21 $170.3087 div
11-Nov-2022 2.0767 $306.62 $147.6443 div
17-Feb-2023 2.0172 $307.10 $152.2374 div
19-May-2023 1.8247 $320.93 $175.8767 div
18-Aug-2023 1.8522 $321.37 $173.5114 div

A $14,817.98 basis is currently worth $254,409.53, a 1616.90% total return on 26.28% CAGR. My Seeking Alpha blog on this is here: A Review Of My Apple Investments.

I know it sounds repetitive, but I think it bears repeating: buy at value, not when things are expensive. My basis buys were at PEs of 18 and 12. The current PE is 30.84! Note a lot of the reinvested dividends also were bought at low PEs. AAPL has reverted to the norm and then some. I wouldn't buy it now.

There is a simplicity and elegance to Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett value investing. I tweaked it a bit for modernity, but basically follow their methodology of buy proven quality at low prices.

As always...markets can and will be less than rational and efficient often enough. I am always on the lookout...always SEEKING ALPHA! As icing on the cake, I'm also seeking a ND nationals championship!

😀

That would complete my life. I'd even smoke a cigar and break out some of the finest single malt scotch!
 
The past 18 months or so, I’ve gone in aggressively buying dividend stocks. I use the monthly cash flow to add to my portfolio. It’s been fun seeing it grow, as the div stocks can be addicting.

Agree w you, DIP- this market has been pathetic. Excited for a new president and healthier economy.
Stupid post. Good job showing everyone how you know nothing about the economy or the stock market. Why do people like you that have no idea what you are talking about have to always chime in with politics.
 
$15k in 1 day obviously sounds great. I get such swings simply because of a large portfolio. But in day trading...you can lose and win as much on a much smaller basis.

I know you know this. But I'm just repeating the warnings to observers and lurkers.

:)

My recent speculative stocks are: XPEV, AQB, and PATH. -63%, -73%, and -57% respectively. Paper losses, as I still hold, having outright bought, no options.I invested a total of $12k across all 3. Small money by now. My values investments have done much better.

Check out this AAPL investment, 1 of 3 I own.

AAPL shares total price $/share
10-Nov-2010 868 $9,807.43 $11.3000 basis
16-Aug-2012 3.64 $82.15 $22.5700 div
15-Nov-2012 4.368 $82.49 $18.8900 div
14-Feb-2013 4.956 $82.91 $16.7300 div
16-May-2013 6.188 $95.96 $15.5100 div
15-Aug-2013 5.432 $96.64 $17.7900 div
14-Nov-2013 5.152 $97.23 $18.8700 div
29-Jan-2014 196 $3,510.07 $17.9100 basis
29-Jan-2014 56 $1,000.32 $17.8600 basis
29-Jan-2014 28 $500.16 $17.8600 basis
13-Feb-2014 6.636 $128.29 $19.3300 div
15-May-2014 6.552 $139.16 $21.2400 div
14-Aug-2014 5.812 $139.93 $24.0800 div
13-Nov-2014 5.168 $140.62 $27.2100 div
12-Feb-2015 4.66 $141.22 $30.3000 div
14-May-2015 4.984 $156.85 $31.4700 div
13-Aug-2015 5.444 $157.50 $28.9300 div
12-Nov-2015 5.4 $158.21 $29.3000 div
11-Feb-2016 6.712 $158.91 $23.6800 div
12-May-2016 7.536 $175.15 $23.2400 div
11-Aug-2016 6.5 $176.22 $27.1100 div
10-Nov-2016 6.404 $177.15 $27.6600 div
16-Feb-2017 5.308 $178.06 $33.5500 div
18-May-2017 5.092 $197.64 $38.8100 div
17-Aug-2017 4.92 $198.44 $40.3300 div
16-Nov-2017 4.62 $199.22 $43.1200 div
15-Feb-2018 4.908 $199.94 $40.7400 div
17-May-2018 5 $232.58 $46.5200 div
16-Aug-2018 4.46 $233.49 $52.3500 div
15-Nov-2018 4.828 $234.30 $48.5300 div
14-Feb-2019 5.528 $235.18 $42.5400 div
16-May-2019 5.308 $249.14 $46.9400 div
15-Aug-2019 4.804 $250.16 $52.0700 div
14-Nov-2019 3.836 $251.08 $65.4500 div
13-Feb-2020 3.128 $251.82 $80.5100 div
14-May-2020 3.384 $268.81 $79.4400 div
14-Aug-2020 2.3724 $269.51 $113.6000 div
13-Nov-2020 2.2816 $269.99 $118.3356 div
12-Feb-2021 2.0129 $270.46 $134.3622 div
14-May-2021 2.2962 $290.69 $126.5956 div
13-Aug-2021 1.9535 $291.20 $149.0634 div
12-Nov-2021 1.9657 $291.63 $148.3616 div
11-Feb-2022 1.6983 $292.06 $171.9752 div
13-May-2022 2.0856 $305.73 $146.5886 div
12-Aug-2022 1.798 $306.21 $170.3087 div
11-Nov-2022 2.0767 $306.62 $147.6443 div
17-Feb-2023 2.0172 $307.10 $152.2374 div
19-May-2023 1.8247 $320.93 $175.8767 div
18-Aug-2023 1.8522 $321.37 $173.5114 div

A $14,817.98 basis is currently worth $254,409.53, a 1616.90% total return on 26.28% CAGR. My Seeking Alpha blog on this is here: A Review Of My Apple Investments.

I know it sounds repetitive, but I think it bears repeating: buy at value, not when things are expensive. My basis buys were at PEs of 18 and 12. The current PE is 30.84! Note a lot of the reinvested dividends also were bought at low PEs. AAPL has reverted to the norm and then some. I wouldn't buy it now.

There is a simplicity and elegance to Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett value investing. I tweaked it a bit for modernity, but basically follow their methodology of buy proven quality at low prices.

As always...markets can and will be less than rational and efficient often enough. I am always on the lookout...always SEEKING ALPHA! As icing on the cake, I'm also seeking a ND nationals championship!

😀

That would complete my life. I'd even smoke a cigar and break out some of the finest single malt scotch!
Thank you this is somd good stuff
 
Stupid post. Good job showing everyone how you know nothing about the economy or the stock market. Why do people like you that have no idea what you are talking about have to always chime in with politics.
Just curious why was irishmike409 stupid?
 
banemate6,

How do you know when progress has been achieved outside of the stock climbing rapidly?
There's a stock that has been in trouble for a long time devaluing its stock from $175 to $50 a share. They've hired a fixer with stellar representation who has made companies like Pepsi and Home Depot what they are today
Their main competitors stock is at $2600+/$900+ a share
As you can see there is great opportunity for growth but outside if getting now but not knowing the turnaround time frame is the only way,
It is a small cap stock
 
banemate6,

How do you know when progress has been achieved outside of the stock climbing rapidly?
There's a stock that has been in trouble for a long time devaluing its stock from $175 to $50 a share. They've hired a fixer with stellar representation who has made companies like Pepsi and Home Depot what they are today
Their main competitors stock is at $2600+/$900+ a share
As you can see there is great opportunity for growth but outside if getting now but not knowing the turnaround time frame is the only way,
It is a small cap stock

Generally I try to make sure a cheaper price isn’t a falling knife. Kodak kept falling in price and was at a cheap PE. Because it was going out of business, confirmed by declines in revenue and profit margins.

A turn around for me is supported by a credible revenue, profit, and market story. That’s why I bought Intel. I also knew enough about the business to know it is too big and important to fail…as the USA needs domestic chip foundries. I reckoned a decline in revenue is temporary.

Indeed I’m making money on Intel. I had to average down. I was under for some time. But it is turning around.

Do similar analysis for your company. Make sure it is Intel and not Kodak. Best of luck.
 
Generally I try to make sure a cheaper price isn’t a falling knife. Kodak kept falling in price and was at a cheap PE. Because it was going out of business, confirmed by declines in revenue and profit margins.

A turn around for me is supported by a credible revenue, profit, and market story. That’s why I bought Intel. I also knew enough about the business to know it is too big and important to fail…as the USA needs domestic chip foundries. I reckoned a decline in revenue is temporary.

Indeed I’m making money on Intel. I had to average down. I was under for some time. But it is turning around.

Do similar analysis for your company. Make sure it is Intel and not Kodak. Best of luck.
Thank you for your insight.
I also have INTC
Now the stock i was referring to is Advace Auto Parts (AAP). I did not wanting to taint the question, and was looking for more of the strategy on a general scope
Again thank you
 
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Thank you for your insight.
I also have INTC
Now the stock i was referring to is Advace Auto Parts (AAP). I did not wanting to taint the question, and was looking for more of the strategy on a general scope
Again thank you
I’ve seen stories that the other auto parts retailer has been buying its own stock back for the last 10 year driving the price up. Something like 90% of float. Forget the name of the company but it might be relevant.

Might be autozone, but not sure..
 
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I’ve seen stories that the other auto parts retailer has been buying its own stock back for the last 10 year driving the price up. Something like 90% of float. Forget the name of the company but it might be relevant.

Might be autozone, but not sure..
I've wondered how buying back your own stock brings new capital in?
It feels like a shell game, but I'm still
figuring out some of the complexity of Wall st., but I'm glad you've brought that up thank yoy
 
Generally I try to make sure a cheaper price isn’t a falling knife. Kodak kept falling in price and was at a cheap PE. Because it was going out of business, confirmed by declines in revenue and profit margins.

A turn around for me is supported by a credible revenue, profit, and market story. That’s why I bought Intel. I also knew enough about the business to know it is too big and important to fail…as the USA needs domestic chip foundries. I reckoned a decline in revenue is temporary.

Indeed I’m making money on Intel. I had to average down. I was under for some time. But it is turning around.

Do similar analysis for your company. Make sure it is Intel and not Kodak. Best of luck.
I've started a spreadsheet and digging into it this a bit CNBC/FOXB has it wrong The fixer helped Lowes build their brand not Home Depot
 
What about Disney? Down 50% from the highs. They haven’t had a big hit movie since 2019. I say it goes up
 
What about Disney? Down 50% from the highs. They haven’t had a big hit movie since 2019. I say it goes up
It will be a buy a soon as they fix their board
Iger has already admitted woke made them broke but the whole board needs to be change
 
I know food and energy/gas isn't part of Core Inflation due to its volatility but is there a metric that it does?
Food and energy can't be as volatility as a lot of stokes I'm seeing so if there is a formula out there that does could you please pass it on.
If wondering I'm trying to figure out whether a hard/soft/no land will be in 2024 and whether imthis will effect the possible FED rate cut were just talk, or not
 
Musk didn't help Disney stock yesterday lol
Iger created the woke, it is deep in every corner of the company now. Even if he started now to remove it, it would take years to bring in the new creative talent that they once had. Then 100's of millions of dollars and a few years to get the new content to market.

But who knows. Buffett/Apple might start buying it up and drive up the price starting now. AI will make the content much less expensive to produce in the next few years. It's a crapshoot, like all the rest.
 
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Iger created the woke, it is deep in every corner of the company now. Even if he started now to remove it, it would take years to bring in the new creative talent that they once had. Then 100's of millions of dollars and a few years to get the new content to market.

But who knows. Buffett/Apple might start buying it up and drive up the price starting now. AI will make the content much less expensive to produce in the next few years. It's a crapshoot, like all the rest.
I still own apple stock just in case that happens

BTW is there a core inflation metric that includes food and energy that you know of?
 
Iger created the woke, it is deep in every corner of the company now. Even if he started now to remove it, it would take years to bring in the new creative talent that they once had. Then 100's of millions of dollars and a few years to get the new content to market.

But who knows. Buffett/Apple might start buying it up and drive up the price starting now. AI will make the content much less expensive to produce in the next few years. It's a crapshoot, like all the rest.
go woke go broke is being proven almost daily but the corporate mentality rules all
Look at Anheuser Busch and how bad it is for them after that idiotic Mulvaney mess
 
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NOW the fed chairman not only says its premature to talk about rate reductions, he is now saying further RATE INCREASES is not out of the question.

Idiot.
 
BTW: Charlie Munger died this week. RIP.

Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, and Charlie Munger impacted my financial life more than any set of scholars, pundits, and masters. I've long practiced adaptive value investing. They taught me to evolve and adapt value investing to change.

For example, low PEs were the main signal to detect possible bargains. However, non-GAAP metrics often uphold strong companies losing money but seizing market share with increasing revenue. Munger correctly advised Buffett: it's better to buy a great company at fair price than a fair company at a great price.

I salute men like Charlie Munger. For whatever he might have been in private life, he provided a great service and advisory for the rest of us. A difference maker.
 
NOW the fed chairman not only says its premature to talk about rate reductions, he is now saying further RATE INCREASES is not out of the question.

Idiot.


To be fair, the current Fed has structural problems. We have a 134% debt:gdp ratio with a budget in deep deficit. Inflation remains high. Rates actually are normalized to historical averages.

He doesn't have much wiggle room...and a core mission of the Fed is to fight inflation.

Markets are still overvalued. Look at the S&P500 PE. Consider we've been in a bond super cycle since dot com due to cheap money policies.

More stimulus probably makes things worse. This debt and deficit isn't debasing our currency. Ironically, creditors underwrite US debt...but it skews distribution of income and wealth to them, foreign and domestic.

To summarize, I don't think we have much wiggle room. We need to address debt. Normalize rates and inflation.
 
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NOW the fed chairman not only says its premature to talk about rate reductions, he is now saying further RATE INCREASES is not out of the question.

Idiot.
I completely agree.
It wouldn't surprise me if early 2024 that gavel falls and a rate cut which I also thought was premature
 
To be fair, the current Fed has structural problems. We have a 134% debt:gdp ratio with a budget in deep deficit. Inflation remains high. Rates actually are normalized to historical averages.

He doesn't have much wiggle room...and a core mission of the Fed is to fight inflation.

Markets are still overvalued. Look at the S&P500 PE. Consider we've been in a bond super cycle since dot com due to cheap money policies.

More stimulus probably makes things worse. This debt and deficit isn't debasing our currency. Ironically, creditors underwrite US debt...but it skews distribution of income and wealth to them, foreign and domestic.

To summarize, I don't think we have much wiggle room. We need to address debt. Normalize rates and inflation.
Whoever the president may be who
takes on actually cutting the debt will have the biggest uphill battle with both Republicans Democrat's, and their surrogates slandering them in the history of this great nation.
Will there ever be anyone with that kind of fortitude?

I was also surprised that besides the US taxpayer Japan holds more of our debt than China
 
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BTW: Charlie Munger died this week. RIP.

Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, and Charlie Munger impacted my financial life more than any set of scholars, pundits, and masters. I've long practiced adaptive value investing. They taught me to evolve and adapt value investing to change.

For example, low PEs were the main signal to detect possible bargains. However, non-GAAP metrics often uphold strong companies losing money but seizing market share with increasing revenue. Munger correctly advised Buffett: it's better to buy a great company at fair price than a fair company at a great price.

I salute men like Charlie Munger. For whatever he might have been in private life, he provided a great service and advisory for the rest of us. A difference maker.
To me he was the person in Warren Buffett's hemisphere that had the most foresight
 
Fed Chairman FINALLY GETS A CLUE!
Lol

I almost posted something earlier but I was taking a beating prior to him speaking and was ready to dump 3/4 of what u have then boom 6.3%
You are correct though the there's still a 1/3 of the voting body that's unhinged
 
Stock market is basically futures betting and has most to do with monetary policy and zero to do with the actual economy or financials of the companies you're betting on.

I'm mildly outraged after Biden was elected, not because of politics but because of the economy and my feelings, I cashed out a lot of equities to pay off a couple mortgages one of a rental and another of my primary to get the guarantied return and the DOW shot up 20k-35k in that timespan that would have netted me 120 or so as my investments were conservative and closely resembled the market: Cyclicals, Discretionary, Tech, Healthcare, some small cap and foreign etc.

There are a small group of investors who win when it goes and and when it goes down and the rules and protocals are designed to help them.

Day trading and investing as an individual is a sure fire way to lose your shoes coat and hat without the inside info on monetary policy from the fed.
 
Stock market is basically futures betting and has most to do with monetary policy and zero to do with the actual economy or financials of the companies you're betting on.

I'm mildly outraged after Biden was elected, not because of politics but because of the economy and my feelings, I cashed out a lot of equities to pay off a couple mortgages one of a rental and another of my primary to get the guarantied return and the DOW shot up 20k-35k in that timespan that would have netted me 120 or so as my investments were conservative and closely resembled the market: Cyclicals, Discretionary, Tech, Healthcare, some small cap and foreign etc.

There are a small group of investors who win when it goes and and when it goes down and the rules and protocals are designed to help them.

Day trading and investing as an individual is a sure fire way to lose your shoes coat and hat without the inside info on monetary policy from the fed.
Congrats on the real estate smart move its always been the monetary policy until around last sept and then the market pushed against the fed by way of THE NASDAQ which drove the market and AI and who knows were that goes but will be the market mover.
President Biden jacking with the energy sector is what created this mess compounded with all that free money in the economy.
These past 24 months if anything forced you in to being a day trader and to be honest I've done quite well (8.5 percent) as a layman by staying in technologies CRWD/PANW
I wholeheartedly believe there are market manipulaters, but no where else can you build your own future than in the market.
If I can donit anyone can
 
Stock market is basically futures betting and has most to do with monetary policy and zero to do with the actual economy or financials of the companies you're betting on.

I'm mildly outraged after Biden was elected, not because of politics but because of the economy and my feelings, I cashed out a lot of equities to pay off a couple mortgages one of a rental and another of my primary to get the guarantied return and the DOW shot up 20k-35k in that timespan that would have netted me 120 or so as my investments were conservative and closely resembled the market: Cyclicals, Discretionary, Tech, Healthcare, some small cap and foreign etc.

There are a small group of investors who win when it goes and and when it goes down and the rules and protocals are designed to help them.

Day trading and investing as an individual is a sure fire way to lose your shoes coat and hat without the inside info on monetary policy from the fed.

I'll post this again: http://www.moneychimp.com/features/market_cagr.htm

The S&P500 or its equivalents produces 9% CAGR over time in nearly any 20 year period since 1871. This is correlated to a PE of 15, which means it is correlated to the economy and financials. You can evaluate an individual stock similarly on PE...but also round it out with metric like PEG, PS, PB, PS, and ROIC. This informs you if stock is cheap, fair value, or expensive...then evaluate cash flow, balance sheets, and income to make a judgement, or, as you put it...a bet.

The odds are high of success using this kind of dollar cost averaging in the S&P500 or value investing into individual instruments. Emphasis: ALL investors, not just a small group, win. It's not a zero sun game. It's really a time in the market game. A proven wealth generator for anybody willing to commit money and stay the course.

Just saying.
 
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