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Football Watch | Place Your Bets: Prop bets, predictions for Notre Dame vs. PSU

@Eric Hansen and I make prop bets and predictions ahead of No. 7 seed Notre Dame (13-1) playing No. 6 seed Penn State (13-2) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. EST on ESPN in the semifinal round of the College Football Playoff hosted by the Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.

Inside ND Sports subscribers can submit their Place Your Bets votes on The Insider Lounge for a chance at a free year-long subscription. Voting for the Penn State game is open here.

• More rushing yards: Notre Dame or Penn State?

• Over/Under 50.5 rushing yards for Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard

• Will Penn State TE Tyler Warren catch a touchdown pass?

• Over/Under 185.5 passing yards for Penn State QB Drew Allar

• More sacks: Notre Dame or Penn State?

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Lets talk PSU

Your PTSD is valid. No disagreement with your comments. None of us really know what will happen as anything can happen. Just trying to make as much of an educated guess as I can. With that said, I still think the x-factor is Freeman. I know I'm biased, but who is coaching better than Freeman since the week 2 loss?

As for Denbrock, I do have 2 concerns:
1. Stop calling those damn screen plays on 3rd down! Screen plays are hit or miss and there's only one option. I'd be fine with a standard RPO on 3rd and medium. Otherwise, call a regular pass play and give RL options.

2. 3rd/4th and short. RL got stopped on a 4th and short. What bothered me about his call was that everyone in the whole stadium knew RL was going to get the ball. The RB going in motion fooled no one. I would have preferred RL be under center. Cut the distance between RL and the first down marker. As we saw a UGA player made contact with RL in the backfield. I can't imagine being able to stop RL doing a QB sneak on a 4th and inches scenario. Besides when it's 4th and short. The offense has greater risk than the defense does, usually. If the offense fails they lose the possession. If the defense fails, well they get another chance to stop them from advancing. That means the defense will often gamble go all out focusing on stopping RL and ignore any fakes.
3. On 3rd down, please call a pass that goes further than the sticks. The entire UGA defense sat behind the WR knowing the pass would be short and they could break on the WR and stop the first down.
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Best LB group in ND history

Im a Real Madrid fan, Ramos, Pepe, Alonso, were very physical with Messi. I would still take CR7 (his Champ's League KO performances were unreal) over Messi but Messi took some physical beatings in El Clasico. The height of the rivalry back when Mourhino was coaching was peak hatred. I remember that 4 game stretch where RM & Barca played in a 3 week stretch (La Liga, Copa Del Rey, 2 Champ's League Semi games) that was peak futbol.


I also follow RM because of Modric. And I followed Barca for Messi...and Rakitic.

But no way in hell did Messi get hacked like Diego. Don't get me wrong, as I appreciate and laud Messi as 1 of history's big 3 with Pele and Diego vying for #1.

Check this out.


When Andoni Goikoetxea broke Diego Maradona’s ankle in 1983, it gave the Argentinian plenty of time to think as he plotted his revenge on the Butcher of Bilbao. Maradona returned after months out before Barcelona’s Copa del Rey final with Athletic Bilbao at the Santiago Bernabéu in 1984.

Best LB group in ND history

I did say if you magically teleport them together, of course the modern players would win. In most sports. Football too.

I think Maradona could play and thrive in the Messi era. He had incredible speed, was much stronger, and, as you noted, more talented. I don't believe Messi on contract would have survived the brutal hacking of the Maradona era.

Maradona was built like a tank. Modern sports science would have made him a more awesome specimen. Messi back in the day wouldn't have the hormone therapy that got him bigger and stronger. A few tackles, he's out of the game...and I doubt he had the psyche of Maradona to persist in the face of blatant hacking.

Diego also might have gotten better substance treatment...cocaine did him in.
Indeed, great minds think alike. Only thing that frustrates me, when people starting ranking on Pele, of all people, is the talent part. Everyone's a product of their environment, and Pele would not suck if he played today. It would only seem like he sucks, if he didn't have a chance to catch up or whatever. It's so hypothetical that it's pointless, but it does allow for legends of the sport, whatever sport, to just being casually dismissed. And players of less talent, today, are way better than Pele, according to this logic.
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Best LB group in ND history

Soccer is where this really resonates.

Pele was a top athlete in the 60s and 70s. Could run 100 meters in 10 seconds. He'd reap modern gains.

Franz Beckenbauer a great defender of the same era said he would probably be much less competitive in the modern era...as even the best sports science would not improve his slow speed.

Modern day Messi, considered the best after Pele and Maradona, needed hormone treatments to build up a skinny body...and would have been brutally hacked to death back in their day, as he lacks their toughness.

Modern soccer has lighter balls, cleats, aerodynamically tuned to produce more goals...refs DEFINITELY protect players from violence now. I played at semipro with a lot of pros growing up...these guys drank, smoke, and had no special diets for the most part. The ones who focused on fitness really stood out...but not all were as talented.

I did say if you magically teleport them together, of course the modern players would win. In most sports. Football too.

I think Maradona could play and thrive in the Messi era. He had incredible speed, was much stronger, and, as you noted, more talented. I don't believe Messi on contract would have survived the brutal hacking of the Maradona era.

Maradona was built like a tank. Modern sports science would have made him a more awesome specimen. Messi back in the day wouldn't have the hormone therapy that got him bigger and stronger. A few tackles, he's out of the game...and I doubt he had the psyche of Maradona to persist in the face of blatant hacking.

Diego also might have gotten better substance treatment...cocaine did him in.
Im a Real Madrid fan, Ramos, Pepe, Alonso, were very physical with Messi. I would still take CR7 (his Champ's League KO performances were unreal) over Messi but Messi took some physical beatings in El Clasico. The height of the rivalry back when Mourhino was coaching was peak hatred. I remember that 4 game stretch where RM & Barca played in a 3 week stretch (La Liga, Copa Del Rey, 2 Champ's League Semi games) that was peak futbol.
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Best LB group in ND history

Yeah, it is difficult to compare players across rather large swathes of time, in fact it's purely imaginary. To the point of beyond even futility, just silliness. The best way to imagine it, perhaps, on the purely hypothetical plane, is to imagine some time warp or whatnot, that you travel to in an Einstein spaceship, and there's a football field, and a stadium all ready and waiting, or a basketball court, or a soccer field, and both sets of players, even though the guys from a previous generation are still alive in the form of like, 60 year old men or something, and then they just square off, and you really don't know what would happen, one just assumes the more modern players would win. Jordan vs Lebron is the most frequent example of this sort of thought exercise, even though basketball hasn't really changed that much at all. And I don't see any reason why prime Lebron kicks prime Jordan's ass.

The big thing that stands out is just a higher skill level, simply from practicing more, and in soccer players just have more ball skill now. The bar is higher. Like if you took Maradona vs Messi, which is about as perfect a hypothetical matchup with a pretty wide gulf of time separating them, Maradona to me looks more naturally gifted with just some special god given talent more than Messi, but Messi is technically better. And while he's gifted too, he's a more a product of his circumstances and development, is what I might guess, but who the F knows. The entire ambient world you grew up in, even outside their respective training regimens and regimes, is simply different, in ways that are impossible to quantify, but do of course define you as a living person. So like you say, older players would need some time adjust to the more highly practiced modern players. But they're not genetically superior, not enough time passed for that. If of course, you could suspend the constraints of existential reality and do something like that.

I did say if you magically teleport them together, of course the modern players would win. In most sports. Football too.

I think Maradona could play and thrive in the Messi era. He had incredible speed, was much stronger, and, as you noted, more talented. I don't believe Messi on contract would have survived the brutal hacking of the Maradona era.

Maradona was built like a tank. Modern sports science would have made him a more awesome specimen. Messi back in the day wouldn't have the hormone therapy that got him bigger and stronger. A few tackles, he's out of the game...and I doubt he had the psyche of Maradona to persist in the face of blatant hacking.

Diego also might have gotten better substance treatment...cocaine did him in.

Best LB group in ND history

Soccer doesn't resonate with me in any way, so when you mention soccer I don't bother reading.


Soccer remains my #1 sport. Nothing compares.

;)

It's a total game. Accommodates a range of heights and athletic abilities. At a minimum you need endurance. Some players now cover 14km a match. With a lot of sprints.

You need I guess sub 13 second 100M speed. But this is debatable. Because ultimately IQ & skill mean the ball moves faster and decisively than anybody can run. Some sports like basketball and hockey, with teams scoring shots, approximate soccer...but don't push the physical and coordination limits.

I obviously respect and like American football. But you're talking set plays with minor improvisation from a static position. Soccer is pretty continuous and free form, requiring 90 minute game focus and discipline.

It's crazy to think not all credits transferred in from Duke

Duke is an academically respected school, just odd. Wonder what classes Leonard was taking that couldn't be transferred.

Degree articulation, for a transfer, can be a very tricky thing, regardless of the schools involved

Best LB group in ND history

Soccer is where this really resonates.

Pele was a top athlete in the 60s and 70s. Could run 100 meters in 10 seconds. He'd reap modern gains.

Franz Beckenbauer a great defender of the same era said he would probably be much less competitive in the modern era...as even the best sports science would not improve his slow speed.

Modern day Messi, considered the best after Pele and Maradona, needed hormone treatments to build up a skinny body...and would have been brutally hacked to death back in their day, as he lacks their toughness.

Modern soccer has lighter balls, cleats, aerodynamically tuned to produce more goals...refs DEFINITELY protect players from violence now. I played at semipro with a lot of pros growing up...these guys drank, smoke, and had no special diets for the most part. The ones who focused on fitness really stood out...but not all were as talented.
Read what you wrote.

"10 seconds."
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