ESPN's game by game predictions are now viewable. Interestingly, Notre Dame is favored to win each game, by no less than 58%. For fun, I took the data and ran simulations using Excel to determine the expected outcome for the 2024 season:
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Yes, and about just a 10% chance of only 8 wins or less. The floor is extremely high this season.So about 70% chance of 10+ wins. Sounds about right.
Yes. That is what happens when a good team faces a relatively easy schedule.Yes, and about just a 10% chance of only 8 wins or less. The floor is extremely high this season.
You would know all too wellYes. That is what happens when a good team faces a relatively easy schedule.
I don’t consider Notre Dame a favorite in game 1.ESPN's game by game predictions are now viewable. Interestingly, Notre Dame is favored to win each game, by no less than 58%. For fun, I took the data and ran simulations using Excel to determine the expected outcome for the 2024 season:
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Vegas has TA&M as a 1 point favorite. Despite all of their roster attrition and turnover with a freshly green coach, its a damn shame that ND is an underdog as of right now.I don’t consider Notre Dame a favorite in game 1.
I do. It would be an upset if texas am wins that game. We should win.I don’t consider Notre Dame a favorite in game 1.
Not saying ND is a big underdog; however, again, not a favorite IMO.
Great. I don’t.I do. It would be an upset if texas am wins that game. We should win.
They are the only 2 teams that if they lost, it's an upset? InterestingGreat. I don’t.
Upset? Please. Notre Dame isn’t Georgia. Or Ohio St.
And I watched Louisville play Notre Dame last season.They are the only 2 teams that if they lost, it's an upset? Interesting
I watched OSU all last year and watched ND play against them. There wasn't much of a difference at all
Cool. 10 win Louisville? Yeah me tooAnd I watched Louisville play Notre Dame last season.
I can not remember a Notre Dame OL with as many question marks as this one. And nothing concerns me more than an inexperienced OL with question marks in a tough road opener.Cool. 10 win Louisville? Yeah me too
Did you happen to see Texas Am play last year? Rumor has it they lost 6 games
Or did you watch them in 2022? Another rumor has them losing 7 games that year
They've won 12 games the last 2 years. We've won 19
Upset if we lose
What does 2022 have to do with anything?Cool. 10 win Louisville? Yeah me too
Did you happen to see Texas Am play last year? Rumor has it they lost 6 games
Or did you watch them in 2022? Another rumor has them losing 7 games that year
They've won 12 games the last 2 years. We've won 19
Upset if we lose
I'm trying to figure out why it wouldn't be considered an upset.What does 2022 have to do with anything?
I can, 2021. Not long agoI can not remember a Notre Dame OL with as many question marks as this one. And nothing concerns me more than an inexperienced OL with question marks in a tough road opener.
If you consider TAM winning at home over Notre Dame to be a CFB upset, great.
I do not.
Damn Golson, the interior line play last season was average at the very best.I can, 2021. Not long ago
I see 2 question marks on the OL. Left and right tackle.
But I also see question marks with Texas Am OL as well. It's not like they have NDs 17 OL
Find a job!I can not remember a Notre Dame OL with as many question marks as this one. And nothing concerns me more than an inexperienced OL with question marks in a tough road opener.
If you consider TAM winning at home over Notre Dame to be a CFB upset, great.
I do not.
The interior OL play was the best the last 3 games of the year. I wonder why...Damn Golson, the interior line play last season was average at the very best.
Yet now, it’s not a question, and good to go.
Whatever:
The OL concerns the hell out of me going into game 1. If you aren’t concerned so be it.The interior OL play was the best the last 3 games of the year. I wonder why...
Schrauth is better than Rocco, upgrade
Craig is better than Correll (which is why Zeke had to bounce), upgrade
Whoever wins the job between Rocco and Coogan, is a year older with more experience, upgrade
We upgraded the interior of the OL in all 3 spots. Not worried about the interior
And I hope I am wrong.The interior OL play was the best the last 3 games of the year. I wonder why...
Schrauth is better than Rocco, upgrade
Craig is better than Correll (which is why Zeke had to bounce), upgrade
Whoever wins the job between Rocco and Coogan, is a year older with more experience, upgrade
We upgraded the interior of the OL in all 3 spots. Not worried about the interior
I am, left and right tackleThe OL concerns the hell out of me going into game 1. If you aren’t concerned so be it.
Interesting. I thought ND lost two tackles, a QB, and a RB to the NFL, while also bringing in a freshly green OC to boot.Vegas has TA&M as a 1 point favorite. Despite all of their roster attrition and turnover with a freshly green coach, its a damn shame that ND is an underdog as of right now.
You would know all too well
Yes and these days it’s sign stealingThere is a big difference between a good team and a championship team.
I think your concern about our O line is complexly justified. Especially because Elko will bring the heat. I think Denbrock will have answers in the form of rollouts, short passes, keeping a rb in as blocker, etcAnd I hope I am wrong.
ND is not as far off from these teams as some think. ND was right there in both of those Georgia and Ohio State games.I think your concern about our O line is complexly justified. Especially because Elko will bring the heat. I think Denbrock will have answers in the form of rollouts, short passes, keeping a rb in as blocker, etc
If Parker was our o coach, we lose this game
I think Golson is spot on that you are short changing our team by not thinking we are similar to Georgia or OSU. We played both teams tough Very tough. Against Georgia in those games we needed a QB. Now we have one.
Against OSU, we needed a first down from Hartman and a wise head coach. Hartman did not make the same mistake against Duke and I feel Freeman learned his lesson also
"Yes. That is what happens when a good team faces a relatively easy schedule."Yes. That is what happens when a good team faces a relatively easy schedule.
"Yes. That is what happens when a good team faces a relatively easy schedule."
That was Michigan's formula last year (well, last 2 years) -- correct?
Stick with Chase and his F+ .FPI is terrible FWIW. SP+ FEI And F+ are much better. I know that won’t be a popular statement around here but it’s true.
ND wins by 7-10 pts. Just not buying the A&M hypeI don’t consider Notre Dame a favorite in game 1.
Not saying ND is a big underdog; however, again, not a favorite IMO.
A&M has no hype ...ND wins by 7-10 pts. Just not buying the A&M hype
It's not horrible. It's a solid schedule, not great by any means but certainly solidND's schedule is horrible this year, they play 3 games. If they lose any more than 1 they're not going to be in the playoff, even with 12 teams.
It's not horrible. It's a solid schedule, not great by any means but certainly solid
They play
10 FSU
20 TX Am
23 USC
26 Louisville
4 top 26 teams and no FCS teams. Solid schedule. Definitely not elite but definitely not horrible either
A&M has no hype ...
ND is an underdog due to lack of respect for ND.