Our schedule is complete shit, other than maybe Louisville. And we should be able to keep muddling our way through and getting wins. Meaning that unless we for our part really shit the bed on offense, and not because we faced a serious kick-ass defense that shut us down despite our best efforts, we should run the table. With our own defense being more or less elite every week. And then we play USC and we gotta rise to the occasion.
So maybe the OP's right, if we can get just enough downfield passing out of RL, that should get us over the top. As far as the playoff, if we make it, and we're facing a top team with a particularly formidable defense, then let the chips fall where they may. Let's just make it there first.