I'm NOT a Freeman fan, but why would he HAVE TO GO if he didn't meet your criteria?
Ara lost to the two ranked teams ND played in 72 -- USC: 42-23 and Nebraska: 40-6. ND was also upset that year at home 30-26 by an UNRANKED 30-POINT UNDERDOG MISSOURI TEAM that lost to Nebraska, ND's opponent in the Orange bowl that year, 62-0.
Ara wasn't fired and won an NC the next season.
My other point involves a number of ND coaches' won/loss records for their first two seasons:
Faust -- 11-10-1
Holtz -- 13-10
Davie -- 16-9
Willingham --15-9
Kelly -- 16-10
If ND were to lose to the three favored teams and get upset, say, by NC State or Louisville but won its bowl game and finished 9-4, giving Freeman a two-year record of 18-8, do you honestly think he would warrant firing? Because there ISN'T A SNOWBALL'S CHANCE IN HELL that ND would actually do it.
In fact, if Freeman were to win 9 games this year and total 18 for his first two seasons, he'd actually rank closer to Devine's 17-6 for his first two years and Weis's 19-6. And there's no way either of them was getting fired after year two. Why would there have been? They were winning over 70% of their games.
So, if not the numbers, ON WHAT BASIS do you feel Freeman would have to be LET GO?