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Notre Dame is up in F+ in relation to UGA by a healthy margin: this is why it matters!

chaseball

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Sep 8, 2007
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The F+ model thinks ND has produced better vs their schedule than UGA has vs theirs so far through round 1 of the CFB playoff in the 2024 season.

Notre Dame: 1.94 F+ (#4 overall)
Georgia: 1.76 F+ (#6 overall)

The only reason ND is still not favored is because of the significant talent difference between these two schools when comparing their 85 man rosters. UGA has 14 five star prospects to NDs zero five star prospects as one of many examples when sorting through their respective recruiting and talent rankings at 24/7 over the last 5 years.

The talent gap is massive.

Because of this talent difference the oddsmakers may be having a hard time respecting ND as the better of the two teams. The track record when it comes to these competitive bowl games between the top ranked teams heavily favors the more talented team.
 
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The F+ model thinks ND has produced significantly better vs their schedule than UGA has vs theirs so far through round 1 of the CFB playoff.

The only reason ND is still not favored is because of the significant talent difference between these schools. And the difference between their respective 85 man rosters. UGA has 14 five star prospects to NDs zero five star prospects as one of many examples when sorting through their respective recruiting and talent rankings at 24/7.

The talent gap is massive.

Because of this talent gap, the system may be having a hard time respecting ND as the better of the two teams. The track record when it comes to these competitive bowl games between the top ranked teams highly favors the more talented team.
Post another meaningless bull shit analytic and I will be sure to read it incessantly so I can fall asleep when I turn in tonight.
 
Going based purely on F+ and considering some of the roster attrition that has happened through transfer and injury, I think F+ has given us a pretty good idea of how these teams have produced relative to one another this season. You also have to remember that opponent quality metrics can be volatile and both of these programs have massive differences in terms of the quality of opponents from week to week on their respective schedules. All of this creates more volatility in the reliability of these metrics.

Trying not to go too far into the weeds with the statistical drivel, its hard to predict. Georgia is missing their starting QB, ND is missing guys all over the roster with injuries that occurred to their best players throughout the season, UGA is stacked with a significantly more talented roster, ND has produced the better F+ numbers to this point by two tenths of a point (which is a pretty significant standard deviation). ND has been better this season than Georgia and its by a healthy margin.

Whats going to prevail (The talent difference or the more productive/higher rated F+ team)? These two things usually go hand in hand statistically. The more talented team usually out produces the lesser talented team. This is a unique situation where that isn't the case thus making things harder to predict.

When all is said and done, according to Vegas, UGA is the better of the two teams by 2 pts.
 
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Going based purely on F+ and considering some of the roster attrition that has happened through transfer and injury, I think F+ has given us a pretty good idea of how these teams have produced relative to one another this season. You also have to remember that opponent quality metrics can be volatile and both of these programs have massive differences in terms of the quality of opponents from week to week on their respective schedules. All of this creates more volatility in the reliability of these metrics.

Trying not to go too far into the weeds with the statistical drivel, its hard to predict. Georgia is missing their starting QB, ND is missing guys all over the roster, UGA is stacked with a significantly more talented roster, ND has produced the better F+ numbers to this point by two tenths of a point (which is a pretty significant standard deviation). ND has been better this season than Georgia and its by a healthy margin.

Whats going to prevail (The talent or the more productive/higher rated F+ team)? According to Vegas, UGA is the better of the two teams by 2 pts.
Thanks...I will be asleep early tonight!
 
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The F+ model thinks ND has produced better vs their schedule than UGA has vs theirs so far through round 1 of the CFB playoff in the 2024 season.

Notre Dame: 1.94 F+ (#4 overall)
Georgia: 1.76 F+ (#6 overall)

The only reason ND is still not favored is because of the significant talent difference between these two schools when comparing their 85 man rosters. UGA has 14 five star prospects to NDs zero five star prospects as one of many examples when sorting through their respective recruiting and talent rankings at 24/7 over the last 5 years.

The talent gap is massive.

Because of this talent gap, the system may be having a hard time respecting ND as the better of the two teams. The track record when it comes to these competitive bowl games between the top ranked teams heavily favors the more talented team.
If the talent gap is massive, why is Georgia only a 1.5 point favorite ?
 
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If the talent gap is massive, why is Georgia only a 1.5 point favorite ?
Because the production difference is significant in favor of ND. Notre Dame has some pretty big things in their favor and Georgia has some pretty big things in their favor as well the game is hard to get a read on...an opportunity for fans to see what's more important talent (Georgia) or production (Notre Dame)?
 
Because the production difference is significant in favor of ND. Notre Dame has some pretty big things in their favor and Georgia has some pretty big things in their favor as well the game is hard to get a read on...an opportunity for fans to see what's more important talent (Georgia) or production (Notre Dame)?
That can’t overcome a massive gap in talent

That can’t bring the game down to Georgia being a 1.5 point favorite
 
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My man why do you do this to yourself.
It's wrong to assume that everybody sees things from the same perspective. My perspective is that I enjoy opening up my thoughts and ideas of Notre Dame football to get feedback and criticism on them --as a way to vet them for credibility, logic, accuracy, etc. This forum provides the platform that allows me to do that and I really appreciate it. I enjoy the emoassioned responses and even change my thoughts and opinions where the logic makes sense to do so. I really value all the thought and effort in the good faith debates on these controversial ND topics
 
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The F+ model thinks ND has produced better vs their schedule than UGA has vs theirs so far through round 1 of the CFB playoff in the 2024 season.

Notre Dame: 1.94 F+ (#4 overall)
Georgia: 1.76 F+ (#6 overall)

The only reason ND is still not favored is because of the significant talent difference between these two schools when comparing their 85 man rosters. UGA has 14 five star prospects to NDs zero five star prospects as one of many examples when sorting through their respective recruiting and talent rankings at 24/7 over the last 5 years.

The talent gap is massive.

Because of this talent difference the oddsmakers may be having a hard time respecting ND as the better of the two teams. The track record when it comes to these competitive bowl games between the top ranked teams heavily favors the more talented team.
YAWN, more BS from the resident nitwit babbling on about F+. Hey chasemeballs no one gives a f....ck about your model.
 
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