When it comes down to it, neither Indiana nor ND will have beaten any top 25 teams based on final regular season records - army just lost convincingly to navy.
Indiana lost to a good ohio st team away and notre dame lost to a very bad niu team at home. However Indiana beat both the champion and runner up champion from last year. And Michigan, who Indiana beat, beat Ohio St (full circle). Yes, ND opponent records ended up better.
To say indiana cannot score like usc, is a statement from someone that probably hasnt really seen them throughout the year. I was at IU’s first game (since my kids were performing at halftime there) and i have watched pretty much all their games, since they have actually been exciting to watch. I am a former season ticket holder of ND as well (w/family since early 70’s - from moose krause) and just let them go last year. So, i would say i know ND pretty well too.
ND defense is awesome, but 29-gray is the blatant weakness (multiple flags and big plays on him all game long at usc). The key to game is pressuring rourke. He is a precision passer and will eat them up (ie like usc), if given protection. When clicking, their rbs arent bad either. Indiana’s defense is really good too - and they pretty much held ohio states potent (best in the country) recievers in check. ND has a phenominal stable of RB’s, but Leonard (although improved) is still not a great passer and that can make them one dimensional - and easier for the Indiana defense.
ND should be able to win on talent alone (ohio st and Michigan are comparable talent wise). However if cignetti figures out how to protect rourke, i will not be surprised to see Indiana win the game.
If ND gets pressure on rourke and leonard has a great game - i see it being. 41-17 ND
If not, i could see it being 34-21 Indiana
Ill be there - so we shall see!