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I Hope I’m Wrong … But

Patrish

Future coach
Gold Member
Nov 3, 2024
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I’m getting a bad feeling about this game, especially with the weather.

Especially since the initial spread was about 8.5 and it’s now about 7.5-7.0

Indiana has tremendous motivation on their side.

Time will tell
 
I’m getting a bad feeling about this game, especially with the weather.

Especially since the initial spread was about 8.5 and it’s now about 7.5-7.0

Indiana has tremendous motivation on their side.

Time will tell

ND will be motivated as well. You never know in these games. One thing is for sure. You have to protect the ball. Turnovers are the lethal killer. We shall see. Fingers crossed.
 
How would the weather benefit Indiania? Isn't their biggest strength on offense their passing game? And isn't ND's biggest strength on offense the running game? If anything, I'd say the weather benefits ND.
I agree but bad weather adds an element of unpredictability. Really wish it was a not a northern school with a Canadian qb. Hopefully the equipment manager is on his game!!
 
With poor weather I’d much rather have an elite running team than a team which relies on the pass.

Also, “motivated.” It’s the playoffs, no team is “more motivated” than another. It’s do or die time.
 
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Indiana's 57th ranked talent is going to cap their upside in this game (in the same way NDs lack of talent vs elite teams has capped their upside in the past)

ND has coaching, talent, home field, and production advantage. If they lose it'll be such an epic failure on part of the organization I wouldn't know where to began.

If they lose due to fluky stuff happening (e.g. special teams, turnovers, penalties in high leverage situations) I can stomach that. But if they get beat up and down the field on a per-play or per-drive basis i'd be shocked.
 
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How would the weather benefit Indiania? Isn't their biggest strength on offense their passing game? And isn't ND's biggest strength on offense the running game? If anything, I'd say the weather benefits ND.
The weather should produce a low scoring game and a greater likelihood of turnovers and with only a seven point spread that concerns me
 
I'm feeling great about this game. Protect the FB, pressure the QB and ND wins handily 31-13
I think ND wins 31-13 simply by putting on their uniforms and showing up to kick off.

This is a pretty one sided matchup on paper.
 
Indiana's 57th ranked talent is going to cap their upside in this game (in the same way NDs lack of talent vs elite teams has capped their upside in the past)

ND has coaching, talent, home field, and production advantage. If they lose it'll be such an epic failure on part of the organization I wouldn't know where to began.

If they lose due to fluky stuff happening (e.g. special teams, turnovers, penalties in high leverage situations) I can stomach that. But if they get beat up and down the field on a per-play or per-drive basis i'd be shocked.
ND is ONLY a 7 point favorite
 
How would the weather benefit Indiania? Isn't their biggest strength on offense their passing game? And isn't ND's biggest strength on offense the running game? If anything, I'd say the weather benefits ND.
So you think that that conditions that have a negative impact on footing benefit Notre Dame ?
 
The weather should produce a low scoring game and a greater likelihood of turnovers and with only a seven point spread that concerns me
But by applying that logic... aren't you more prone to turnovers if you pass as opposed to run? And again IU likes to pass, ND likes to run. I don't get how this weather makes the game more dangerous for ND.
 
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ND is ONLY a 7 point favorite
7 points is a decent separation but i think it should be more like 10-15 points.

If this forum has taught me anything over the last 20 years more than anything else its that just because a belief/opinion is popular doesn't necessarily make it accurate/right.

I think even though Indiana is popular with bettors, they are working off of incorrect information.

If i was a betting man, i'd take ND and the 7 points easily.
 
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With poor weather I’d much rather have an elite running team than a team which relies on the pass.

Also, “motivated.” It’s the playoffs, no team is “more motivated” than another. It’s do or die time.
Indiana has so much more to be motivated about, it’s not unusual for underdogs to have additional motivation.

Notre Dame has vied for the NC 4 times in 13 years
When was the last time that Indiana divide for the NC

A win for Indiana would be a huge boost to their program
I win for Notre Dame, less so
 
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7 points is a decent separation but i think it should be more like 10-15 points.

If this forum has taught me anything over the last 20 years more than anything else its that just because a belief/opinion is popular doesn't necessarily make it accurate/right.

I think even though Indiana is popular with bettors, they are working off of incorrect information.

If i was a betting man, i'd take ND and the 7 points easily.
“easily” ?

Why doesn’t Vegas feel that way?

What do you know that they don’t know?
 
“easily” ?

Why doesn’t Vegas feel that way?

What do you know that they don’t know?
Vegas does feel that way. The opening line was at 8 or 9 points. The money has come in heavy on Indiana though so the line has shifted to 6-7 points.

It's VERY rare for a team with the advantage in: home field, season-long F+, team-talent rank, to lose in a head to head match up. Usually these games are one sided stomps actually.

I'm not buying the indiana hype at all ... im expecting a 2 possession victory (10+ points) at least.
 
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Bad footing gives the receivers the edge, how could you not know that

Yes
No it doesn't. It affects both. And that's only one aspect you're thinking of. It's harder for the QB to see the field and be accurate passing as their vision and footing struggles. It's also harder to catch a ball when it's wet. That's why in bad weather there are more calls for runs than passes. How could you not know that?
 
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Don’t be nervous. If we can’t beat Indiana at home, we don’t deserve to be anywhere near the national title. They’ve beaten no one, got smoked by the only descent team they played and should have lost to Michigan but Michigan had a walk on at qb.

ND should be more motivated than anything based on previous big games collapses, the media doubting us and trash talk from Indiana. This is a team full of 3 stars that is overachieving. We are a roster full of blue chip recruits who is playing better than anyone.

If we lose this game, we were just as much a product of a watered down schedule as them. Don’t stress, the better team will win.
 
Here's the default chat model on the Perplexity AI platform's thoughts:

Based on the available predictions and analysis, Notre Dame is expected to win the College Football Playoff game against Indiana in 2024. The projected score and yardage difference are as follows:

Score Prediction

Notre Dame is predicted to win by approximately 11-14 points. Most predictions favor a score around: Notre Dame (28-31 pts), Indiana (17-20 pts)

Yardage Difference

While exact yardage predictions are not provided, we can infer some key points about the potential yardage difference:
  • Notre Dame's offense averages 39.8 points per game (7th in FBS) compared to Indiana's 43.3 (2nd in FBS)
    6
    . This suggests both teams have potent offenses capable of generating significant yardage.
  • Notre Dame's defense allows 13.6 points per game (3rd in FBS) while Indiana's allows 14.7 (6th in FBS)
    6
    . The strong defenses on both sides may limit total yardage.
  • Notre Dame is expected to have success running the ball, averaging 6.3 yards per carry (3rd in the nation)
    4
    . This could lead to a yardage advantage for Notre Dame.
  • Indiana has the top-ranked QB rush defense, holding opposing QBs to -63 net rushing yards for the season
    3
    . This may limit Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard's rushing production.
Given these factors, Notre Dame is likely to have a moderate yardage advantage, potentially in the range of 50-100 total yards more than Indiana.It's important to note that while Notre Dame is favored, Indiana has had an impressive season and could keep the game closer than expected
7
8
. The game's outcome may hinge on key factors like turnovers, Notre Dame's run game success, and Indiana's ability to generate a passing attack against Notre Dame's strong secondary
4

1
2

*numbers are links to sources of information that the AI chat model pulled from
 
Here's the default chat model on the Perplexity AI platform's thoughts:

Based on the available predictions and analysis, Notre Dame is expected to win the College Football Playoff game against Indiana in 2024. The projected score and yardage difference are as follows:

Score Prediction

Notre Dame is predicted to win by approximately 11-14 points. Most predictions favor a score around: Notre Dame (28-31 pts), Indiana (17-20 pts)

Yardage Difference

While exact yardage predictions are not provided, we can infer some key points about the potential yardage difference:
  • Notre Dame's offense averages 39.8 points per game (7th in FBS) compared to Indiana's 43.3 (2nd in FBS)
    6
    . This suggests both teams have potent offenses capable of generating significant yardage.
  • Notre Dame's defense allows 13.6 points per game (3rd in FBS) while Indiana's allows 14.7 (6th in FBS)
    6
    . The strong defenses on both sides may limit total yardage.
  • Notre Dame is expected to have success running the ball, averaging 6.3 yards per carry (3rd in the nation)
    4
    . This could lead to a yardage advantage for Notre Dame.
  • Indiana has the top-ranked QB rush defense, holding opposing QBs to -63 net rushing yards for the season
    3
    . This may limit Notre Dame QB Riley Leonard's rushing production.
Given these factors, Notre Dame is likely to have a moderate yardage advantage, potentially in the range of 50-100 total yards more than Indiana.It's important to note that while Notre Dame is favored, Indiana has had an impressive season and could keep the game closer than expected
7
8
. The game's outcome may hinge on key factors like turnovers, Notre Dame's run game success, and Indiana's ability to generate a passing attack against Notre Dame's strong secondary
4

1
2

*numbers are links to sources of information that the AI chat model pulled from
Yawn
 
Indiana's 2 toughest games were against OSU and a not to good Michigan team; there offense was below average in both games. The rest of their schedule was crap
 
Vegas does feel that way. The opening line was at 8 or 9 points. The money has come in heavy on Indiana though so the line has shifted to 6-7 points.

It's VERY rare for a team with the advantage in: home field, season-long F+, team-talent rank, to lose in a head to head match up. Usually these games are one sided stomps actually.

I'm not buying the indiana hype at all ... im expecting a 2 possession victory (10+ points) at least.
These games are typically blowouts.
 
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