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The Hartman overreaction is funny as hell

Ummm.. pre preseaso Ranking had us 12th so not a title contender.

A lot of qbs have put up stats in gimmicky offenses that werent really that good
Pre season rankings right now are more meaningless than ever. Roster will change I know you know this.

Having penn state at 5 with a young QB who has a ton of potential but development needed is a joke. Washington top 10, clemson ahead of us. We were 5 pre season last year so obviously they can be wayyy off.

IMO our D is what holds us back if anything next year.
 
Pre season rankings right now are more meaningless than ever. Roster will change I know you know this.

Having penn state at 5 with a young QB who has a ton of potential but development needed is a joke. Washington top 10, clemson ahead of us. We were 5 pre season last year so obviously they can be wayyy off.

IMO our D is what holds us back if anything next year.
He said everyone has us as a title contender. Thats not true.
 
It does not mean EVERYTHING, but to point out 1 player, (Bennett) and try to make a point that HS star rankings are meaningless is naive and ridiculous.

Especially since the schools who have consistently brought in the highest ranked classes over the past 9 years, have virtually taken every playoff spot and have won every National Championship. In fact, if it wasn't for one of the schools LSU, beating another one of those schools Alabama, on the last play this season, we would probably be looking at Alabama v Georgia Part 3 tonight. Not TCU and there 3-star players about to get run off the field by Georgias 4- and 5-star players.
Once they step on campus the rankings are pretty much meaningless. Everyone has to earn their spot and then be productive to keep it. What a player " was" in high school means about as much as to what a player "was" in college after they join the NFL. I fully understand that having more quality players increases the likelihood of success. I was just pointing that what Hartman was rated in high school has no bearing on him being at ND today.
 


Recruiting rankings are the greatest invention since the wheel.
It's as an inexact science as you can ever find.
 
Once they step on campus the rankings are pretty much meaningless. Everyone has to earn their spot and then be productive to keep it. What a player " was" in high school means about as much as to what a player "was" in college after they join the NFL. I fully understand that having more quality players increases the likelihood of success. I was just pointing that what Hartman was rated in high school has no bearing on him being at ND today.
agree other than there's a different view on 5*'s coming in just like first round draft picks. They get more chances to prove themselves quickly IMO.
 
Once they step on campus the rankings are pretty much meaningless. Everyone has to earn their spot and then be productive to keep it. What a player " was" in high school means about as much as to what a player "was" in college after they join the NFL. I fully understand that having more quality players increases the likelihood of success. I was just pointing that what Hartman was rated in high school has no bearing on him being at ND today.
Agree. Do I think a guy like Keon Keeley will be a 5 star player? Absolutely. But for many 3-4 star guys it's a crap shoot. Most 5 star QB's are a bust.
 
The dude passed for almost 4k yards last year at WF. He did not have a first round TE.

He moves the ball around and hits open and deep receivers. You cannot find a news service or outlet who now is not including ND as a playoff contender.

Maybe all of us are the experts here, but no QB on our current roster passed for 4k yards and if MF didn’t take a QB this year and TB goes down again we would all say “should have taken Hartman”.

MF did exactly what he needed for ND, not a single individual. This was the best move and the best QB in the portal

23 is going to be epic.
Wake has had NFL prospects at WR during most of Hartman's tenure. Hartman has had more to work with at WR than ND has had the last few years. Hartman has also benefited from playing in by far the least competitive P5 conference in college football by a mile.

I'm not trying to trash Hartman, I'm just trying to put the acquisition of Hartman into the proper context. He's a grizzled journeyman vet with a high floor and no ceiling. He's Drew Pyne with a little more arm strength. He has no NFL future despite being a pocket passer/pro style QB. That should say it all.
 
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Agree. Do I think a guy like Keon Keeley will be a 5 star player? Absolutely. But for many 3-4 star guys it's a crap shoot. Most 5 star QB's are a bust.
stars are just a symbol that represent the rarity of a prospect. it's a projection of a player's FBS future based on the best data available about the player at the time.

once a player puts on the pads and starts playing ball at this level he quickly graduates from being a prospect to being an FBS player (where his prospect profile doesn't really mean anything anymore) and said player can now be judged based on the merits of his FBS production.

Johnathan Taylor (3 star RB prospect from Wisconsin turned star RB in the NFL) stopped being "just a 3 star" after dominating the big 10 halfway through his true freshman season. His case is super rare though. The large majority of players play to the level of their prospect-profile.
 
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stars are just a symbol that represent the rarity of a prospect. it's a projection of a player's FBS future based on the best data available about the player at the time.

once a player puts on the pads and starts playing ball at this level he quickly graduates from being a prospect to being an FBS player (where his prospect profile doesn't really mean anything anymore) and said player can now be judged based on the merits of his FBS production.

Johnathan Taylor (3 star RB prospect from Wisconsin turned star RB in the NFL) stopped being "just a 3 star" after dominating the big 10 halfway through his true freshman season. His case is super rare though. The large majority of players play to the level of their prospect-profile.
I think I read once that like 70% of the NFL, including it’s most talented QB’s, were 3 star or less. I wouldn’t call that rare.
 
I think I read once that like 70% of the NFL, including it’s most talented QB’s, were 3 star or less. I wouldn’t call that rare.
There are about 25-35 five-star prospects each class, and about 150-200 four-star prospects. And about 600-800 three-star prospects

If even just 2% of three-star prospects from a class make it to the NFL--while the other 98% do not--there are still 14 three-star prospects being represented in the NFL each class.

There are going to be a lot of three star players in the NFL based on the sheer quantity/volume of them graduating every year relative to the other higher ranked groups.
 
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There are about 25-35 five-star prospects each class, and about 150-200 four-star prospects. And about 600-800 three-star prospects

If even just 2% of three-star prospects from a class make it to the NFL--while the other 98% do not--there are still 14 three-star prospects being represented in the NFL each class.

There are going to be a lot of three star players in the NFL based on the sheer quantity/volume of them graduating every year relative to the other higher ranked groups.
I don’t disagree. If we are arguing that per capita 5 stars produce at a higher level than 3 stars then I don’t disagree (although some positions are vastly different from others). My point is simply that using a high school star rating (whether a 1 or 5+) to describe a current college players ceiling is nauseatingly stupid. Particularly mind numbingly stupid when that player is a two time D1 NCAA AA. If someone says Hartman doesn’t have a high ceiling bc he lacks vision or throws too many picks that at least seems like a conscious thought that can try and muster an argument. It’s like saying they should bench Stetson Bennet for JT Daniels simply based on some fat moron high school recruitnicks analysis. If I were betting money at the casino I’d take Dayne Crist every time, but I’d lose my ass quite often and someone is getting rich on Mahomes. But a good better still takes Crist. No good better looks back in retrospect and says well you know, that was a good hand 10 years ago so maybe it is now. Hartman might be Stetson Bennett. The odds aren’t too far out of his favor considering what he’s done and he’s certainly a better bet than an unproven guy like Dante Moore and certainly mountains better odds than Tyler Buchner. Coming out of high school I’d rank it 1, Moore 2, Buchner 3, Hartman. But high school doesn’t mean shit in the case of Mahomes and it doesn’t mean shit in the case of Dayne Crist. One makes hundreds of millions, one is probably selling insurance. There are folks here dumb enough that had Hartman been a five star in high school, they’d be more excited today about a 2 x AA transfer and all time ACC passing leader. Guys like Hartman are very very rare to hit the portal. He’s a jackpot.
 
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I don’t disagree. If we are arguing that per capita 5 stars produce at a higher level than 3 stars then I don’t disagree (although some positions are vastly different from others). My point is simply that using a high school star rating (whether a 1 or 5+) to describe a current college players ceiling is nauseatingly stupid. Particularly mind numbingly stupid when that player is a two time D1 NCAA AA. If someone says Hartman doesn’t have a high ceiling bc he lacks vision or throws too many picks that at least seems like a conscious thought that can try and muster an argument. It’s like saying they should bench Stetson Bennet for JT Daniels simply based on some fat moron high school recruitnicks analysis. If I were betting money at the casino I’d take Dayne Crist every time, but I’d lose my ass quite often and someone is getting rich on Mahomes. But a good better still takes Crist. No good better looks back in retrospect and says well you know, that was a good hand 10 years ago so maybe it is now. Hartman might be Stetson Bennett. The odds aren’t too far out of his favor considering what he’s done and he’s certainly a better bet than an unproven guy like Dante Moore and certainly mountains better odds than Tyler Buchner. Coming out of high school I’d rank it 1, Moore 2, Buchner 3, Hartman. But high school doesn’t mean shit in the case of Mahomes and it doesn’t mean shit in the case of Dayne Crist. One makes hundreds of millions, one is probably selling insurance. There are folks here dumb enough that had Hartman been a five star in high school, they’d be more excited today about a 2 x AA transfer and all time ACC passing leader. Guys like Hartman are very very rare to hit the portal. He’s a jackpot.
Williams was a jackpot. Hartman is not
 
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Nobody said Williams isn’t good. They aren’t mutually exclusive. You seem to really be at odds with Freeman over this Hartman thing. That must be hard for you.
I'm not. I would have brought Hartman in too. Just the people who think he is some elite player is where I disagree
 
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I'm not. I would have brought Hartman in too. Just the people who think he is some elite player is where I disagree
I think Hartman and cj carr have a lot of similarities so this will let us know where we see our offense going with an established qb under Rees
 
So now you have added professional scout to your resume as well as college football recruiting expert?
He's 24 coming back for a 6th year and his draft projection is last round/undrafted FA. This guy has about as much chance to make an NFL 2-deep as Tate Forcier at this point.
 
I think Hartman and cj carr have a lot of similarities so this will let us know where we see our offense going with an established qb under Rees
Carr is bigger physically. Hes more athletic. And I think he'll have a bigger arm by the time he is on campus
 
Carr is bigger physically. Hes more athletic. And I think he'll have a bigger arm by the time he is on campus
Maybe slightly on all 3 but their style and abilities to me would lead to the same offensive scheme and game plan… still stand by my point that the offense next year could look like what tommy wants to run moving forward… minchey is different but would probably run it too if he develops
 
If you can't indulge in a little hopium during the off season, what is the point of being a fan?
 
He's 24 coming back for a 6th year and his draft projection is last round/undrafted FA. This guy has about as much chance to make an NFL 2-deep as Tate Forcier at this point.
Alright man, shit, are you about through? Because you're laying it on pretty thick in this thread....

About ready to wrap it up?
 
I agree there is no downside. But the Hartman hype is getting out of control for a 4-star transfer/ 6th year guy with no NFL future. Hartman was so unspectacular at WF, that he wore out his welcome at Wake of all places, similar to how Ian Book (& Drew Pyne) did at ND.

It isn't about being good enough for me, it's about being good enough to move the needle on the status of the program. What ND fan in the world wants to see another decade of championship-less mediocre bleh? If ND fans were married to ND they'd be dry as a desert with their legs closed fed up with an ultra vanilla marriage.

I can't be the only one tired of having less than 10% chance vs the tier 1 of college football. There's no reason for it. Stop buying NDs hype/PR and look at the obvious data in front of you. ND is selling wolf tickets folks.
If the italicized part of your reply is your main point, which I take it to be, you are partly right and mostly wrong. Notre Dame DOES have a reduced chance of winning national championships because of the structural disadvantages in the sport (geography, use of NIL as incentive to "attend," academic expectations/demands, etc.). Doesn't mean they can't win or won't win, but I have been a fan for 50 years, and the first 25, I automatically assumed national championship candidatehood on an annual basis...not anymore.

But to be crying "wolf tickets" is wolf tickets. Notre Dame administration expects and promises FBS football at a high level...ideally, championship but I don't recall them promising such. And they make no promises of lowering standards; taking players that can't succeed in the classroom (even though they might take some that need more hand-holding); taking transfers for the football skills they have independent of credentials they bring; or creating NIL programs to entice frosh or transfers, You want to "Cheer, cheer for Old Notre Dame," you better be aware that we are taking into the arena...and what we aren't.

And, yes, I suppose the school could choose to do all those things I outlined above and that you want...I'll live another 500 years before they do...don't want to contribute to the bottom-line? Don't visit, don't shop, don't contribute...your loss will be 1000 times greater than the school's.
 
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