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Pretty amazed at how far off the experts were on the NC State game

Bob Rodes

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Jan 2, 2022
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I just googled "notre dame nc state predictions" and was surprised at how many predictors took the under and the points. Five CBS writers all had ND winning, but only two of them predicted ND would cover the spread.

Predicting Notre Dame to win and not cover seems like some sort of cognitive dissonance to me. It seems like there's no way that a 7-point margin gives better than even odds against the rest of the field, i.e. winning or losing by more than 7.

My favorite example of subconscious Notre Dame antipathy causing someone to deservedly lose money: Data Skrive of Fox Sports predicted NCSt 29, ND 13. I sure hope he bet 10 grand on that outcome, because I already don't like him. :)
 
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