Notre Dame vs Kentucky predictions
- Thread starter Bodizephax
- Start date
Here's the breakdown...Kentucky is ranked #1 in
kenpom's defensive efficiency and Notre Dame is ranked #3 in offensive
efficiency.
When Notre Dame plays a kenpom top 50 defense they
are 7-4 with with 5 of those wins by 4 or less and 2 of them in
overtime. Expect Notre Dame to struggle against a top defense, their
scoring average against top 50 defenses is a full 10 points below their
season average, but don't count them out because they've shown they have
the ability to win close games.
When Kentucky plays a kenpom
top 50 offense is 11-0 with an average margin of victory of 20.5 points
which is in line with their season total. They allowed an average of
55.1 points which is 1.5 points higher than their season average.
Kentucky has played in 7 games that were decided by less than 10 points
this season, two of those have come against top 50 offenses.
kenpom's defensive efficiency and Notre Dame is ranked #3 in offensive
efficiency.
When Notre Dame plays a kenpom top 50 defense they
are 7-4 with with 5 of those wins by 4 or less and 2 of them in
overtime. Expect Notre Dame to struggle against a top defense, their
scoring average against top 50 defenses is a full 10 points below their
season average, but don't count them out because they've shown they have
the ability to win close games.
When Kentucky plays a kenpom
top 50 offense is 11-0 with an average margin of victory of 20.5 points
which is in line with their season total. They allowed an average of
55.1 points which is 1.5 points higher than their season average.
Kentucky has played in 7 games that were decided by less than 10 points
this season, two of those have come against top 50 offenses.
We can all play the "stats game". UK hasn't played a team that shoots the ball as well as ND...that's a fact (58% 2pt / 38% 3pt) The 2 teams that were anywhere close to ND gave UK problems. Vandy was within 4 with 2 minutes to play and it took 2 OT's to put A&M away. Now, I'm not saying ND will win, but anyone can find stats that show team A can't beat team B because of some stat. Any team can win or lose on any given night regardless of who they're playing....that's why they play the game.
Every game we hear "UK hasn't played a team that _____ like us".
Same song, different ball game.
Same song, different ball game.
nd will have to shoot the ball very well, ala villanova vs Georgetown in 85. Kentucky is too long , too athletic and too deep in my opinion. nd certainly has a punchers chance but their margin for error is very small. can't wait. we've seen it many times before where the less talented team wins. it's been a great ride regardless of the outcome tonight.
This post was edited on 3/28 8:09 AM by echowaker
This post was edited on 3/28 8:09 AM by echowaker
Who is the real numberone1????? Never read posts from him so grammatically correct over the the past year !!!! Could he be a phony poster or someone just pulling our chain????? Will the real numberone1 please stand up !!!!!!!!!!!
I guess my question is... Has ND shot those percentages against a team with the length of UK? UK is 2nd in the country in defensive 3 point percentage at 26.7%. Our overall FG percentage is 1st at 34.8%, so not much better. Our starting 5 are 6''6", 6'6", 6'10", 7'0" & 7'1". The first 4 off the bench are 6'6", 5'9", 6'9" & 7'0". Your shooters are not only going to have to shoot over long athletic guys but try to deal with that size on the defensive end.
To your point about some of those teams hanging with us, you do realize several of those games we were without Trey Lyles don't you? Cal has said for weeks that Trey is the X-Factor because he is not only a matchup nightmare at the 3 position but if you zone he will find the crease in the zone and kill you with his midrange game.
Lyles played in both the OT games and missed a couple of the other games. Are you saying Kentucky is a "one trick pony"?
I keep hearing how deep they are...apparently, according to you, they're one player away from losing. I'll shoot a text off to Brey right away...
"Mikey...got some inside info,meekfor3 says just stop Lyles and you got a pretty good shot at winning....your friend theboat"
This post was edited on 3/28 4:19 PM by theboat
I keep hearing how deep they are...apparently, according to you, they're one player away from losing. I'll shoot a text off to Brey right away...
"Mikey...got some inside info,meekfor3 says just stop Lyles and you got a pretty good shot at winning....your friend theboat"
This post was edited on 3/28 4:19 PM by theboat
Hey Irish fans!
My official guess is UK 77-65. I say this because I feel like Kentucky was extremely focused defensively the lay few games. Notre Dame is an awesome offensive team but one of the best things kentucky does is defend. Every time you set a screen, someone (often Cauley Stein) picks up the man on the other side and he is quick enough to guard even point guards. So open shots are extremely rare. In addition, their offense was really clicking against WVU. They scored 78 but it could have been more. Wvu ran the shot clock down almost every possession, taking up a lot of time.
That being said, nothing is impossible. Kentucky has had a few games this year where the offense wasn't so hot; not moving the ball around well missing easy layups. If they have a night like that and the Irish are hitting the contested shots, they definitely hve a chance. I want to see my boys hit 40-0 but if we gotta lose to someone, I'd rather it be you guys than Duke or Louisville. So just promise me if you win you don't let either of them win it all
My official guess is UK 77-65. I say this because I feel like Kentucky was extremely focused defensively the lay few games. Notre Dame is an awesome offensive team but one of the best things kentucky does is defend. Every time you set a screen, someone (often Cauley Stein) picks up the man on the other side and he is quick enough to guard even point guards. So open shots are extremely rare. In addition, their offense was really clicking against WVU. They scored 78 but it could have been more. Wvu ran the shot clock down almost every possession, taking up a lot of time.
That being said, nothing is impossible. Kentucky has had a few games this year where the offense wasn't so hot; not moving the ball around well missing easy layups. If they have a night like that and the Irish are hitting the contested shots, they definitely hve a chance. I want to see my boys hit 40-0 but if we gotta lose to someone, I'd rather it be you guys than Duke or Louisville. So just promise me if you win you don't let either of them win it all
Anything can happen, but ND is not going to win unless someone in the kitchen of Kentucky's hotel has arranged for them to get a mild case of food poisoning.Originally posted by jrpross:
Hey Irish fans!
My official guess is UK 77-65. I say this because I feel like Kentucky was extremely focused defensively the lay few games. Notre Dame is an awesome offensive team but one of the best things kentucky does is defend. Every time you set a screen, someone (often Cauley Stein) picks up the man on the other side and he is quick enough to guard even point guards. So open shots are extremely rare. In addition, their offense was really clicking against WVU. They scored 78 but it could have been more. Wvu ran the shot clock down almost every possession, taking up a lot of time.
That being said, nothing is impossible. Kentucky has had a few games this year where the offense wasn't so hot; not moving the ball around well missing easy layups. If they have a night like that and the Irish are hitting the contested shots, they definitely hve a chance. I want to see my boys hit 40-0 but if we gotta lose to someone, I'd rather it be you guys than Duke or Louisville. So just promise me if you win you don't let either of them win it all
Unlike some who self appoint their team as America's team, UK's team would never suggest that they are unbeatable, so I am uncertain why you mentioned unbeatable. Most knowledgeable basketball fans are fully aware that in a one-and-done tourney, anything is possible.
Well, then Kentucky fans are the least knowledgeable fans in the country. I've visited the UK forums. The general consensus is ND will lose by 20 -30 points....and yes,most UK fans think they are unbeatable.
This post was edited on 3/28 8:16 PM by theboat
Try reading my post just a little slower. It could improve your reading comprehension. There is a big difference between believing your team will win a game and believing your team is unbeatable. I don't believe you have seen a single post on UK's site that said the team was unbeatable.
I wanna say that UK is still going to win but if they continue to let us hang around like this then we might have a shot at the end
This post was edited on 3/28 9:52 PM by coolirish9
This post was edited on 3/28 9:52 PM by coolirish9
win or lose i'm so proud of this team with the way played this year with so much heart and fight in them
auguste is the man right now in the second half. I now believe we can pull off the upset if we don't get away from what were doing right now
will pressure start to set in with UK if were ahead or even with them when the clock gets under the 10 min mark
This is fantastic play by the Irish. Barring a meltdown in the last eight minutes, they have played a helluva game. Win or lose, no shame at all.
