I usually preface my posts by saying that they are positively slanted as possible, while trying to be realistic regarding the prospects that ND is actually in on. I also routinely suggest that recruiting is fluid and that my best guess scenarios are simply a reflection of what is happening "at the moment" throughout the cycle and that they are subject to change, as the minds and hearts of 17 years old shift and change.
Also, ND's class is not usually somewhere in the late teens. Per the composite, here are Notre Dame's classes under Brian Kelly...
2011: #9
2012: #17
2013: #5
2014: #11
2015: #13
2016: #15
2017: #10
2018: #10
2019: #16
2020: #18
Brian Kelly has recruited 10 classes to Notre Dame. 4 of them (40%) have been top 10 classes. 3 of them (30%) have been ranked between 10-15 and 3 of them of them (30%) have been ranked between ranked 16-20... Brian Kelly has averaged the #13 class during his tenure.
Also, the difference between #18 (Notre Dame, 251.28) and #10 (Tennessee 261.40) last year, was a total of 10 recruiting points, which is ONE quality, 4 start recruit.... Some food for thought.
Outside of about the top 6-7 classes, the next 12-13 are essentially a wash.