The effect of going for it there has been overblown.
1. Freeman knew that Louisville would play conservatively starting at the ND 35 in order to bleed clock and get into FG range, and they did exactly that with conservative play calling. ND got the ball back down two scores with 7:30 left. We were already down two scores, so this worked perfectly. Could it have worked better punting and getting better field position? Yes, but we don’t k ow what would have happened. As it is, we got the ball back still down two scores.
2. Freeman knew that UL’s OL was leaning into us and was afraid a little more aggressive play calling on 1st down by UL from their own 20/25/etc., would lead to first downs and subsequently perhaps a long, time consuming drive that ends the game. Giving them the ball at the 35 takes away any chance of a long drive.
3. As it is, we got the ball back FOUR TIMES after giving it up on downs but only scored once. As far as maximizing opportunities, the strategy worked out perfectly, and with better QB/OL play, we could have mounted a serious comeback.
4. Obviously, the upside to going for it was getting the first down and the negative was a shortened field. Hartmanhad just pulled off a miracle last week, and we were due for a big play in that game, but it never came.
Now, it’s also true that had they punted, Louisville might’ve made some mistakes in its own territory with more pressure on them, but we don’t know if that would’ve happened or not. What we do know is that we got the ball back down two scores just like we started off down two scores and had seven minutes and 30 seconds left and then didn’t do anything.