We are using FPI (a projection model) to give us an educated guess on how the season will likely play out over the remaining several weeks left in the regular season.
Projected results, which are reflected in the percentages below, are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.
Teams are ranked based on how big of a threat they are for a playoff spot:
RK, Team, Record, % chance to win out, % chance to win conference
1. Alabama, 8-0, 43%, 63%
2. Ohio State, 6-1, 39%, 52%
3. Clemson, 6-1, 26%, 40%
4. Georgia, 7-0, 6%, 28%
5. Washington, 6-1, 28%, 40%
6. Wisconsin, 7-0, 14%, 29%
7. Penn State, 7-0, 15%, 19%
8. TCU, 7-0, 6%, 37%
9. Oklahoma, 6-1, 16%, 36%
10. Miami, 6-0, 7%, 33%
11. Oklahoma St, 6-1, 11%, 23%
For the record, ND is currently 6-1, with a 20% chance to win out vs a top 11 remaining strength of schedule. ND wins, and one of these teams above loses over the remaining weeks, and NDs playoff chances grow exponentially.
Projected results, which are reflected in the percentages below, are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.
Teams are ranked based on how big of a threat they are for a playoff spot:
RK, Team, Record, % chance to win out, % chance to win conference
1. Alabama, 8-0, 43%, 63%
2. Ohio State, 6-1, 39%, 52%
3. Clemson, 6-1, 26%, 40%
4. Georgia, 7-0, 6%, 28%
5. Washington, 6-1, 28%, 40%
6. Wisconsin, 7-0, 14%, 29%
7. Penn State, 7-0, 15%, 19%
8. TCU, 7-0, 6%, 37%
9. Oklahoma, 6-1, 16%, 36%
10. Miami, 6-0, 7%, 33%
11. Oklahoma St, 6-1, 11%, 23%
For the record, ND is currently 6-1, with a 20% chance to win out vs a top 11 remaining strength of schedule. ND wins, and one of these teams above loses over the remaining weeks, and NDs playoff chances grow exponentially.
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