I'm getting bored with politics as football is far more interesting. I am making the case that as a Michigan fan the Notre Dame game is by far the most important game on the schedule. I do not think it is Notre Dame's most important. Here is my reasoning.
UM has a killer schedule. Preseason @OSU is ranked 4, Wisc 6, @ND 9, PSU 10, and @MSU 13. There are also trap games @NW and Nebraska. UM fans like angry populists are demanding a break out season. Anything less than 10-2 will send out the tar and feathers even if 9-3 is what one would expect. If UM wins the first game, splitting the splitting the remaining four games plus avoiding trap games gets a 10-2 record. Getting to 10-2 is far more important than rivalry games at least for 2018.
Contrast to ND, the hardest remaining games are verse Stanford 14, @USC 15, @VTech 17 and FSU 20. That is not a schedule to sneeze at but no games in the top 10 where UM has 4. A loss does not mean ND cannot sweep the rest of the games or go 10-1 the rest of the way. Though I do understand preseason rankings are not always accurate. Writers rarely look at 2nd level metrics. MSU could not run the ball last year and both of Wisc's starting DE's are currently hurt. But I gotta go with what I have.
The big knock for Harbaugh and UM in general is there has not been a signature road victory. This is an opportunity to get it and set up a season not for success but not failure. If UM loses this game they have to win 3 of the remaining 4 plus win all trap games to hit what fans will demand which I see as a tall order. For better or worse UM fans are about done with Harbaugh if they do not see results. If he goes I think UM will be poison as no coach would consider such an impossible task.
Contrast to Kelly who being at ND for a decade is relatively secure. The composition of ND's team is such that it will beat the teams they are supposed to beat. VTech and USC will be tougher as road games. But I see all other teams on ND's schedule as very beatable.
What does this mean? Regardless who is the better team I believe Michigan will be more the more desperate team as more is a stake. I think this will make for a great game because so much is at stake. A loss could be the beginning of he end.
UM has a killer schedule. Preseason @OSU is ranked 4, Wisc 6, @ND 9, PSU 10, and @MSU 13. There are also trap games @NW and Nebraska. UM fans like angry populists are demanding a break out season. Anything less than 10-2 will send out the tar and feathers even if 9-3 is what one would expect. If UM wins the first game, splitting the splitting the remaining four games plus avoiding trap games gets a 10-2 record. Getting to 10-2 is far more important than rivalry games at least for 2018.
Contrast to ND, the hardest remaining games are verse Stanford 14, @USC 15, @VTech 17 and FSU 20. That is not a schedule to sneeze at but no games in the top 10 where UM has 4. A loss does not mean ND cannot sweep the rest of the games or go 10-1 the rest of the way. Though I do understand preseason rankings are not always accurate. Writers rarely look at 2nd level metrics. MSU could not run the ball last year and both of Wisc's starting DE's are currently hurt. But I gotta go with what I have.
The big knock for Harbaugh and UM in general is there has not been a signature road victory. This is an opportunity to get it and set up a season not for success but not failure. If UM loses this game they have to win 3 of the remaining 4 plus win all trap games to hit what fans will demand which I see as a tall order. For better or worse UM fans are about done with Harbaugh if they do not see results. If he goes I think UM will be poison as no coach would consider such an impossible task.
Contrast to Kelly who being at ND for a decade is relatively secure. The composition of ND's team is such that it will beat the teams they are supposed to beat. VTech and USC will be tougher as road games. But I see all other teams on ND's schedule as very beatable.
What does this mean? Regardless who is the better team I believe Michigan will be more the more desperate team as more is a stake. I think this will make for a great game because so much is at stake. A loss could be the beginning of he end.