I suppose we need to factor in the N-I-L stuff as well, which is way, WAY, WW--AA--YY more of a crazy, unpredictable x-factor in the Brave New Equation of CFB moving forward.
So ND has two things they need to worry about, dealing with players transferring out in greater numbers, just as regular transfers a la JJ, as well as all these dudes on the three-year graduation track who can be grad transfers and transfer out of ND and still play TWO more seasons somewhere else. Which is pretty cool for them. They get their ND degree, and then get to have a whole 2nd act in their playing careers where presumably they can be starters.
And then of course there's the true elephant in the room which is the NIL thing, and the legalized paying of players, which still seems totally on the backburner as society gropes with more pressing concerns. Maybe that's what these billboards are about. It's some sort of sleek NIL marketing, as well as a recruiting tool, I suppose, though I don't that's that cool of a recruiting ploy or whatnot. The NIL thing, if somehow it doesn't simply amount to legalized booster payments in a fairly straightforward fashion, sans the bagman, is going to end up being very dystopian.
What the relaxed transfer rule could do is further
commodify players almost to the point of tradeable assets.
While I’m not suggesting that college football teams could start trading players, players themselves will now
more frequently be trading in their initial asset value at one venue in order to deploy it at another. Notice I didn’t say SCHOOL as in most cases, schooling, I suspect, will have little to do with it.
It will be more like leaving Fidelity for Vanguard. Or vice-versa. As in the search for GREATER RETURN.
And the more it happens, the more players could be seen as potential PUZZLE SOLVERS for teams missing this or that part. The entire CFB personnel landscape could become considerably more fluid and the team-building process more dynamic and, therefore, a) more EXACTING and b)
potentially more punishing for those teams than can’t or won’t keep up.
In the past, measuring a player’s projected asset value was confined by and large to his recruitment period. Now, it’s likely to be tracked and scrutinized by EVALUATORS on an almost constant basis. And by this, I mean that the media could have a fascinating new toy to play with. Sites like Blue & Gold might even have to hire analysts to handle the TRANSFER PORTAL just as they eventually did with recruiting.
As for NIL, I think it’s potentially far too dynamic a development to envision what it will result in. With electronics, everything we apply it to has EXPONENTIAL POTENTIAL: 5/6G; autonomous EV’s; crypto and other digital assets; the Internet of Things; AI.
And once something is COMPUTATIONALLY FINANCIALIZED, the sky’s the limit as to how many ways you can TRY TO MAKE MONEY from it. Whatever's digitized will be monetized, and whatever’s monetized will be digitized. Because the BLOCKCHAIN WILL MAKE IT SO.
In light of this, I can’t see how the NIL phenomenon can possibly escape attempted heavy duty digitization-monetization by someone. But boosters and local car dealerships? They're more the 1950’s version of it. The Johnny Lattner/cherry-blend pipe smoker’s version.
Instead, what if some of the thinking that has brought us non-fungible tokens (NFT’s) permeates this space and a player’s digitized image
in a certain context -- say, a Heisman related expression -- is viewed as a token of inordinate value? As is the case in other domains where rare tweets or inaugural emails from celebrities have sold as tokens in some cases for millions?
Or even should some of the fetishism you see in baseball card/sports memorabilia collecting take root in the NIL space,
what might we be looking at?
Like I said, I have NO IDEA except that the whole thing could take off in a variety of unforeseen ways.