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F+ update through week 1 (ND stays at #8, TAMU slips to #20)

chaseball

I've posted how many times?
Sep 8, 2007
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At the 10,000 foot level, F+ is a ranking system that ranks each of the 130+ FBS teams based on their on field production, and adjusts each teams performance for opponent quality and for luck. e.g. teams that produce yards and TDs and prevent their opponent from producing yards and TDs (with the quality of their opponent taken into consideration) will do well in this system.

The rankings are super volatile at this early point in the season but will get more accurate as the sample size gets larger later into the 2024 season. At about week 5 of last year, F+ had 4 of the eventual college-football-playoff teams ranked inside the top 5 in F+ and had Michigan as the defacto best team in the country way out in front of everybody.

Also worth noting, 10 of the top 12 teams in F+ through week 1 are SEC & BIG10 teams.

Top 12 through week 1:

1. Georgia, 2.64
2. Alabama, 2.33
3. OSU, 2.17
4. Texas, 2.04
5. Oregon, 2.03
6. Michigan, 1.89
7. Penn St. 1.84
8. Notre Dame, 1.71 (offense 17th, defense 7th)
9. Ole Miss, 1.59
10. OU, 1.56
11. Missouri, 1.48
12. Kansas State, 1.46


 
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Coming into the season, SP+ projections projected Notre Dame's offense to be as good as the defense (tied at 10th in the country for both). After week 1 results, the OF+ (offensive F+ ranking) is ranked at 17th, and the defense is ranked at 7th. ND stayed at #8 overall in F+ rankings and TAMU slipped to #20 from #17 after this week 1 loss.

Top 10 through week 1:

1. Georgia, 2.64
2. Alabama, 2.33
3. OSU, 2.17
4. Texas, 2.04
5. Oregon, 2.03
6. Michigan, 1.89
7. Penn St. 1.84
8. Notre Dame, 1.71 (offense 17th, defense 7th)
9. Ole Miss, 1.59
10. OU, 1.56

Oregon 🤣🤣
 
I do not think this is a true assessment of what happened on Saturday. PSU beat an unranked WVU team, which looked really bad. ND beats a ranked team on the road. This is was why we have a playoff system.
 
At the 10,000 foot level, F+ is a ranking system that ranks each of the 130+ FBS teams based on their on field production, and adjusts each teams performance for opponent quality and for luck. e.g. teams that produce yards and TDs and prevent their opponent from producing yards and TDs (with the quality of their opponent taken into consideration) will do well in this system.

The rankings are super volatile at this early point in the season but will get more accurate as the sample size gets larger later into the 2024 season. At about week 5 of last year, F+ had 4 of the eventual college-football-playoff teams ranked inside the top 5 in F+ and had Michigan as the defacto best team in the country way out in front of everybody.

Also worth noting, 10 of the top 12 teams in F+ through week 1 are SEC & BIG10 teams.

Top 12 through week 1:

1. Georgia, 2.64
2. Alabama, 2.33
3. OSU, 2.17
4. Texas, 2.04
5. Oregon, 2.03
6. Michigan, 1.89
7. Penn St. 1.84
8. Notre Dame, 1.71 (offense 17th, defense 7th)
9. Ole Miss, 1.59
10. OU, 1.56
11. Missouri, 1.48
12. Kansas State, 1.46


Colorado at 72? lol
 
I do not think this is a true assessment of what happened on Saturday. PSU beat an unranked WVU team, which looked really bad. ND beats a ranked team on the road. This is was why we have a playoff system.
Early in the season, the F+ system is weighing pretty heavily on the pre-season SP+ projections while incorporating this seasons data into the formula as well (through week 1). As the season goes on, the in-season performance will be weighted more heavily in the F+ formula and the SP+ projections will weigh less.

PSU was ranked 6th in that preseason SP+ projection system, to Notre Dame's 9th. After week 1s games, PSU is ranked 7th to NDs 8th in F+.
 
I guess head to head doesn't mean anything in F+
LSU 14th
USC 17th
😂🤣🤣😂
 
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