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Football Place Your Bets voting: Notre Dame vs. Army

M
Tyler James said:
It's time for Game 11 of Place Your Bets for the 2024 season. We're making prop bets for CFP No. 6 Notre Dame's Shamrock Series game against Army.

ICYMI: Subscribers can compete individually in Place Your Bets for a chance to win free subscription months to Inside ND Sports. The top subscriber will get a year's subscription for free. The second-place subscriber will get six free months.

Instructions are included in the thread linked here and in the Google Form linked below.

@Eric Hansen and I share our weekly picks the Friday before every game this season. I will share the results next week in this thread and we’ll have an updated standings thread throughout the season.

Here are the Game 11 prop bets for Notre Dame-Army. Voting is open now and closes at kickoff on Saturday (7 p.m. EST on NBC).

• Over/Under 1.5 touchdowns for ND RB Jeremiyah Love
• Over/Under 3.5 catches for ND TE Mitchell Evans
• Will Notre Dame make a field goal?
• Over/Under 94.5 rushing yards for Army QB Bryson Daily
• Over/Under 4.5 completions for Army

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Army - CFP

C
burmafrd1943 said:
You seem to have a lot of contempt for the academies.
Coming from a SO CALLED FAN of a school that lost to NIU this year, makes me wonder.
Big 12 is not so hot; and other teams have had a pretty weak schedule that are in the mix
BUT you apparently hate our service members
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Hes lives in the land of fruits and nuts. What do you expect? These misfits(the majority anyway) live in a land all their own.
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Northern Illinois

P
savvyandsassier said:
I don't know, I"m sure they did play well, for them. I just mean they didn't seem that formidable. This isn't some badass team that's going to tear up the MAC, and challenge for the G5 playoff spot or anything like that. The whole game was slow and labored, and even though we have a great defense, they were unthreatening on offense, and just slow and plodding overall. And sure enough, they got their little FG at the end to pull ahead and get the win. Good for them.

Bottom line, I suppose it was a letdown after the offseason-long buildup to the big game at Kyle Field. And our offense was finding itself, so it was just one of those things. And NIU stepped up. But to our great credit, we totally bounced back, took away the right lesson, and now pretty much are steamrolling our way into the playoff, with two legit opponents remaining, but we should be alright, we'll handle them. And I think it's possible to think of it as at least both a blessing and a curse. Obviously you don't want to lose to MAC teams, but we got our act together, and if MF really has been invoking it, what better way to totally motivate you for the rest of the season. So at the end of the day I'll take it. This has been a very good season. The games aren't competitive, and we are fairly dominant. I honestly think we could be a dark horse in the playoff. Knock on wood.
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We have to get by Army and USC and we’re only a four-point favorite at USC.

Don’t get ahead of yourself, we are not in the playoffs yet
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Why does it seem like "hosting a playoff game" is the ultimate goal at ND these days?

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sjb75 said:
This won’t end.

You have the same 5-10 posters who directly respond to anything chaseball writes, the same regurgitated ignorant shit day after day, week after week, month after month.

It is what it is.
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Pot meet kettle. Its kind of like you babbling on about coaches who make millions MUST be great because they make a lot of money. Or reminding us over and over and over and over again about ND loss to N.IL at home.
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Why does it seem like "hosting a playoff game" is the ultimate goal at ND these days?

C
savvyandsassier said:
Because it would be awesome, rather than playing on the road. And yes, it is the ultimate goal. ND does not want, and has no interest in actually winning a national championship. Let's be clear. They just want to host playoff games, that's it. Everything is geared towards that goal. It's plastered all over the football facilities, this mantra, this very specific objective, so there's no mistake. A championship is neither here nor there, not really concerned about that at all. We just want to host a 1st round playoff game. Every season, every year the program sets that as its ultimate and annual and perennial goal. If we do win a championship that would be fine, but that would simply make it easier to achieve our real goal of hosting 1st round playoff games in future seasons, on account of the enhanced prestige and improved recruiting.
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What a load of BS
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Ole Miss & Georgia

tbonesays
banmate6 said:
I don't know the specific statistical models, but I do know ELO type models, like the ones used in chess or even ranking soccer nations.

Wins against higher ranked teams are weighted more heavily.

So if SEC teams start off higher ranked, sure, the winners tend to stay higher ranked.

Again, I'm just roughly considering how ELO models might bias the SEC in early rankings.
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Some models are biased early on because there is not enough data but drop it once the web of team games connects everybody.
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Football Place Your Bets voting: Notre Dame vs. Army

N
Tyler James said:
It's time for Game 11 of Place Your Bets for the 2024 season. We're making prop bets for CFP No. 6 Notre Dame's Shamrock Series game against Army.

ICYMI: Subscribers can compete individually in Place Your Bets for a chance to win free subscription months to Inside ND Sports. The top subscriber will get a year's subscription for free. The second-place subscriber will get six free months.

Instructions are included in the thread linked here and in the Google Form linked below.

@Eric Hansen and I share our weekly picks the Friday before every game this season. I will share the results next week in this thread and we’ll have an updated standings thread throughout the season.

Here are the Game 11 prop bets for Notre Dame-Army. Voting is open now and closes at kickoff on Saturday (7 p.m. EST on NBC).

• Over/Under 1.5 touchdowns for ND RB Jeremiyah Love
• Over/Under 3.5 catches for ND TE Mitchell Evans
• Will Notre Dame make a field goal?
• Over/Under 94.5 rushing yards for Army QB Bryson Daily
• Over/Under 4.5 completions for Army

This is premium content. Please subscribe to view.
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Why does it seem like "hosting a playoff game" is the ultimate goal at ND these days?

chaseball
Golson5 said:
No. There is absolutely not a clear top 5.

It also doesn't line up because we are ahead of Ole miss in team talent rankings. So incorrect
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Yes there's a clear top 5 in F+ rating (5 teams way out infront of the rest of the pack, with OSU WAAY out in front in a tier of their own)

These tier 1 teams (including Georgia who is at #6) also are way out in front in team talent composite as per 247. These are the teams that have 15, 20, 25+ more 5 star players and top 100 players on their 85 man roster than ND does (in another talent tier entirely). Ole Miss being the only exception--but Lane Kiffin is one of those coaches who has proven that he's able to produce elite F+ seasons with subpar talent (these coaches are far and few between). His roster is also loaded with TONS of transfers that are not comprehensively reflected in the 247 talent rankings.

Basically if ND faces any of these top 5 or 6 teams they'll be a major underdog and probably get ran over yet again. Even if they don't get ran over, the chances that they'll actually win these games is far too low for a team of NDs resources. And its embarrassing that year after year ND essentially heads into the regular season with the same program handicap unable to compete with the top teams in college football (but its disguised by their shit-tier schedule vs the ACC & G5).

Moreover, NDs 2025 recruiting class is down to #14 in the country with only like 1 or 2 players in the composite top 100 (and its yet another recruiting class without a single 5-star commit). The problems are GLARING AND OBVIOUS and apparently im the only one that seems to be able to make the connection between this lack of talent and NDs current standing in the hierarchy of college football.

I've been making one variation of this post or another for nearly 1.5 decades now and even with the benefit of hindsight over that time, i'm still viewed by a segment of this board as a troll who is spouting nonsense to rile up the board. That's why I ask: how many more decades of hindsight do we need where im proven correct over and over again before I earn the benefit of the doubt?
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Football Place Your Bets voting: Notre Dame vs. Army

2581
Tyler James said:
It's time for Game 11 of Place Your Bets for the 2024 season. We're making prop bets for CFP No. 6 Notre Dame's Shamrock Series game against Army.

ICYMI: Subscribers can compete individually in Place Your Bets for a chance to win free subscription months to Inside ND Sports. The top subscriber will get a year's subscription for free. The second-place subscriber will get six free months.

Instructions are included in the thread linked here and in the Google Form linked below.

@Eric Hansen and I share our weekly picks the Friday before every game this season. I will share the results next week in this thread and we’ll have an updated standings thread throughout the season.

Here are the Game 11 prop bets for Notre Dame-Army. Voting is open now and closes at kickoff on Saturday (7 p.m. EST on NBC).

• Over/Under 1.5 touchdowns for ND RB Jeremiyah Love
• Over/Under 3.5 catches for ND TE Mitchell Evans
• Will Notre Dame make a field goal?
• Over/Under 94.5 rushing yards for Army QB Bryson Daily
• Over/Under 4.5 completions for Army

This is premium content. Please subscribe to view.
Click to expand...
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Ole Miss & Georgia

B
tbonesays said:
the computers love the SEC and I don't think they are biased.
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I don't know the specific statistical models, but I do know ELO type models, like the ones used in chess or even ranking soccer nations.

Wins against higher ranked teams are weighted more heavily.

So if SEC teams start off higher ranked, sure, the winners tend to stay higher ranked.

Again, I'm just roughly considering how ELO models might bias the SEC in early rankings.
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Ranked when you played? Or seasons end?

P
sjb75 said:
This means Navy is a quality top 25 win.

Which I would disagree with. It wasn’t then. It isn’t now.
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So when an undefeated team ranked # 2 loses to Notre Dame in game three of the season and their spectacular QB has a season ending injury on the last play of the game and they lose three more games, and end up ranked in the 40s at the end of the season, you think that our SOS should be based on the end of season rankings
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David Pollack Names College Football Team Outside the Top Five That Can Win it All

88ND

I can't say Pollack is wrong.

If we are forced to pass and play in a scoring fest we're in trouble.

If we can just move the sticks and keep a lead we're a tough out.

If #2 gets some late season chemistry with RL we have a decent shot
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Ranked when you played? Or seasons end?

raulduke_007
sjb75 said:
Frankly I agree. I watch a lot of CFB, and 6 seems a tad generous to me as well. I would go 8-9. That said, they’ll certainly get their shot to go as far as they can.
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Of course you think ND at #6 (really #8 with the auto bids) is generous because you're a USC troll and all you do is sh!tpost about ND on this board. It's a quite sad hobby you have & disturbing that a middle aged man like yourself indulges in it as frequently as you do. Get a better life sport.
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